Research Briefing
Profit margins in the eurozone have largely dropped back towards their long-term pre-pandemic average, after they increased faster than wages...
Inflation
Are we now stuck in a high inflation world? Temporarily high inflation has lasted for longer than anyone predicted and inflation is set to rise further from here. Might we have actually entered into a new, higher, regime for inflation? Find out more about our GDP inflation forecast.
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 506 results
Research Briefing
Taiwan was hit by the 7.2 magnitude earthquake on 3 April, the strongest in 25 years. However, the economic impact seems to be...
Research Briefing
A scenario where neither the Federal Reserve nor the European Central Bank cut rates in 2024 would reduce eurozone GDP...
Research Briefing
The Nordic economies will have a better 2024 than last year, but growth rates will diverge across the region. The...
Research Briefing
Our sentiment data suggests that the ECB's worries about sticky inflation driven by strong wage growth are misplaced. The sentiment...
Research Briefing
A slower fall in services inflation will partially offset the relatively stronger disinflationary forces in goods prices. We do not...
Research Briefing
Reaching net zero carbon emissions by 2050 would likely have a larger impact on economic activity initially in ASEAN5 countries...
Research Briefing
In this presentation deck, Innes McFee, Chief Global Economist, explains how the outlook for the year is cautiously optimistic. Over...
Research Briefing
After the sharp falls in eurozone inflation recently, a series of rate cuts this year by the European Central Bank...
Research Briefing
Disruption to shipping through the Red Sea now looks likely to keep transport costs elevated at least for the next...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan left both short-term and long-term policy rates unchanged at Tuesday's meeting as widely expected. The BoJ...
Research Briefing
The UK inflation outlook has been transformed by steep falls in oil and gas prices and the recent softening in...
Research Briefing
We assume the disruption to shipping caused by maritime attacks on commercial vessels in the Red Sea will be relatively...
A plunge in consumer spending in 2022-23 has been a key factor behind the poor performance of the Czech economy....
Research Briefing
China heads into 2024 with relatively loose policy settings, but private sector sentiment constrained by property pessimism. Policy efforts will...
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan left both short-term and long-term policy rates unchanged at Tuesday's meeting. Amid a decline in global...
Research Briefing
Weak demand, profit margin compression, easing pipeline pressures, and abating supply bottlenecks mean we see core goods inflation strongly coming down...
Research Briefing
The rapid surge in interest rates will continue to weigh on the Nordic economies next year with little external support,...
Research Briefing
Inflation will likely decelerate in 2024 as the impact of imported inflation wanes. We expect the Bank of Japan will...
Research Briefing
After a year of stagnating activity, the eurozone economy will continue to struggle to gain traction in the near term...
