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Colombia: A good fiscal outlook, but lower resilience to shocks
Colombia’s next government will likely miss its fiscal targets this year and next, but absent any negative shocks it will be possible to hit its five-year goal with a fiscal package only half the siz...
United Kingdom: Transition deal agreed but much work still to do
The UK and EU have agreed a standstill transition deal on Brexit, keeping the existing trading arrangements in place until end-2020. But while this is an important milestone, it is not a decisive brea...
Eurozone: Italian Industrial production negative in January
In line with Eurozone data published last week, Italian industrial production was down on the month in January. But the fact that the main negative contribution came from energy combined with the upwa...
United Kingdom: Wait and see, for now
February’s Inflation Report and the minutes of that month’s MPC meeting both struck a distinctly hawkish tone. According to the Committee, “were the economy to evolve broadly in line with the February...
Japan: Underlying export momentum firm but softening
Momentum in nominal goods exports slowed in February to only 1.8% y/y, partly reflecting the different timing of the Lunar New Year. Excluding the Lunar New Year impact and adjusting for prices, the d...
- Mar 19 2018
- Feb 26 2018
The AI Paradox: How robots are making work more human
Over the next decade, a great wave of technological change will wash through the economy, transforming the nature of work and the shape of the labour market. We collaborated with Cisco to study the im... more
- Mar 12 2018
- Feb 26 2018
Forecasts and analysis for 12 key markets, providing insight into the building and construction industry throughout Asia.
A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or a sovereign distress.
A comprehensive view of national and city economies across Africa
An unbiased and transparent view of the forward-looking distribution for the economy essential to meeting regulatory requirements.
In the media
In the next decade, a wave of technological change will wash through the economy, transforming work and labour markets. In a study with #Cisco, we built a new modelling framework to examine implications more comprehensively than ever before. Our blog: https://t.co/uMh6Z1AJmt
Our 200 economists have updated our monthly forecasts. Our analysis suggests that the global economy remains set for its best 2-yr run of growth since 2010-11, despite the equity market upset and US protectionist moves. Download our free executive summary: https://t.co/uBbjEHsyq1 https://t.co/vaiSHT6xcY
Re #Steel & #Aluminum #tariffs, US Trade Rep confirmed that Canada, Mexico, EU, Brazil, Australia, Argentina, South Korea are all exempt. Impact of tariff now only 30% of original announcement! Our conclusion: watch what Washington does, not what it says: https://t.co/fYNsVPlrZP https://t.co/4VJdI8QrNB
RT @GregDaco: US durable goods #orders post strong 3.1% rebound in Feb. Shipments solid +0.9%. More importantly, core orders +1.8% & core #…
RT @GregDaco: #Steel & Aluminum #tarriffs update. US Trade Rep Lighthizer confirms during Senate Finance Committee testimony that these cou…
Our latest research for @WTTC, out today ... https://t.co/py5251sDs1