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- Nov 14 2018
United Kingdom: Draft Brexit deal done…but that was the easy part
News of a draft deal on the Brexit withdrawal agreement takes us a small step closer to the UK making an orderly departure from the EU in March 2019. But the Prime Minister now faces a tough job in se...
- Nov 14 2018
Eurozone: With QE due to end, the ECB still has some bullets left
The end of the ECB’s asset purchase programme does not mean the central bank is out of weapons to fight a deterioration in economic conditions. Changes in forward guidance and the timing of interest r...
- Nov 14 2018
Oil output cuts risk putting GCC states among slow EMs
A return to oil production cuts by OPEC and other producers in 2019 is a considerable downside risk to our baseline forecast of real GDP growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region acceleratin...
- Nov 13 2018
United States: US Executive Briefing – November 2018
Resilience remains the key theme for the US economy post midterm elections. Real GDP growth is trending at 3% entering Q4, supported by solid consumer outlays and strong business investment. Private ...
- Nov 13 2018
Malaysia: Higher fiscal deficits unlikely to lead to rating downgrades
We think Malaysia will miss its 2019-2020 fiscal targets because the economic outlook is likely to be weaker than the government expects and there are some risks to implementing the new taxes and opti...
The economic impact of ornamental horticulture and landscaping in the UK
This research details for the first time the varied ways that ornamental horticulture and landscaping contribute value to the UK economy.
Helping to understand the impact of Brexit: The economic outlook for UK legal services
Following the 2016 referendum, economic uncertainty has spread across several industries within the UK economy. This report is Oxford Economics' and Thomson Reuters' exploration of the impact of the U... more
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In the media
RT @GregDaco: #Fed Chair Powell: no economic concerns are strong enough to change current gradual tightening path but monitoring:
Draft #Brexit withdrawal deal a small step closer to orderly EU departure. But PM faces a battle to win parliamentary approval. Good chance coming months will see political upheaval and market volatility, and a disorderly Brexit still cannot be ruled out: bit.ly/2TdMIRd
Flagship report from @TSB, Boosting Local Business, launched today w/ All-party Parliamentary Grp on Fair Business Banking @APPGbanking. Using OE research, it shows better small business banking cld buoy #SME productivity in a £70bn boost to #UKeconomy: bit.ly/2TcmSNF
RT @GregDaco: US #CPI rises 0.3% in Oct as expected while core CPI +0.2%. Energy, driven by 3.0% jump in #gasoline prices, represented 1/3…
RT @OliverRakau: German Q3 GDP with first fall since Q1 2015 & at -0.2% q/q inline with my expectations. Accounting for the dreadful perfor…
RT @GregDaco: Despite frightening October for #markets, US #recession odds remain tame. @OxfordEconomics activity-augmented recession index…
In @sole24ore, @vittoriodarold highlights OE's analysis by Adam Slater concluding that speculation over the future of the #USdollar as global reserve currency is wide of the mark, with the #USD's pre-eminence likely to endure: bit.ly/2K1pSZ1 via @sole24ore to come: