Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Jul 16 2019
United States: Looming fiscal deadlines could cost US dearly
Three high-impact fiscal policy deadlines loom over the US economy: a debt ceiling crisis, a government shutdown and a fiscal cliff.
- Jul 15 2019
Brazil: Reform optimism obscures technical recession
Despite our below-consensus forecast for GDP in 2019 and the prospects of a double-dip recession in H1, we find a number of reasons to be optimistic about Brazil’s growth prospects in the medium term....
- Jul 12 2019
United States: Macro Musings: The Trickle-Down Effects Are Happening.
Despite some feisty inflation readings this week, the Fed is poised to move forward with its rate cutting plans at the end of this month. The risk of waiting for further confirmation outweighs the ris...
- Jul 12 2019
Lull before the trade war storm
Markets remain vulnerable to renewed tensions, despite the US-China trade war truce. In our review of 80 trade war events since President Trump’s election, we find: (i) consistent, broadly symmetr...
- Jul 11 2019
Eurozone: ECB minutes suggest further policy easing a done deal
The minutes from the June ECB meeting confirm that the council unanimously agreed to 1) extend its forward guidance on rates and 2) make the conditions of the new series of long-term liquidity provisi...
In the media
Our 250 economists have updated our monthly forecasts - download a FREE
SUMMARY: bit.ly/32sBjSs. Continuing global slowdown means rising risks 2019 will see the weakest post-crisis growth. But impending action by central banks means recession risks are still low.
Organisational culture is critical to business performance influencing outcomes in collaboration, customer satisfaction and retention - and financial results. Our model developed with @GrantThornton tracks how key aspects of culture map into performance: bit.ly/32uUyui
#SMEs are prioritising productivity to boost their bottom line, our SME Pulse 2019 report with AmEx reports. We find SMEs worldwide planning to invest in more value-adding technologies, enhance in-house innovation, and strive to retain skilled employees: bit.ly/32srt2L
Five key trends are shaping how business worldwide operates: tech innovation, economic integration, demographic shifts, climate change and sustainability, and shortages of skilled labour. We explore these in a major new report with the @ILO and @ioevoice: bit.ly/2O5wOds
#FX RISK - ON-DEMAND WEBINAR Our recent webinar ‘Four countries and forex risk’ is now available on demand. Produced with Control Risks, it takes a whirlwind tour of #forex risk in key #EM economies – #Turkey #Argentina #Russia and #Colombia ... Watch now: bit.ly/2O5JO2m
Watch testimony by OE’s Hamilton Galloway on China’s challenge to US #rail car manufacturing before the US House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee here: bit.ly/2lx7zmn
Our #FXRisk tool points to #Iran, #Egypt, #Lebanon and #Tunisia as most vulnerable currency regimes in #MiddleEast and North #Africa (#MENA). Among the Gulf's #GCC countries, #Bahrain and Oman look less resilient, but neither is on the cusp of a crisis: bit.ly/32p7bXY