Financial institutions need to balance investment, lending, and strategy decisions against a complicated, ever-changing and uncertain international economics environment. Experts in the economics of finance and banking, Oxford Economics provides clients with macroeconomic and market analysis combining a quantitative and qualitative approach to support decision-making.
How we can help
We support banks, investment banking organisations, asset managers and other financial institutions with forecasts, scenarios and risk assessment tools that can be used to support investment decisions, meet regulatory requirements or promote their organisation as a thought leader.
Stress testing and scenarios
With over 40 years of experience producing independent forecasts and scenarios, our macro-modelling and scenario-planning solutions meet the stress-testing requirements of domestic and international regulators. In addition to our expertise in the economics of finance and banking, for managers of alternative assets, including real estate and infrastructure, we can also help with transaction due diligence and ongoing performance reviews.
Asset allocation and investment strategy
Our asset manager service covers cross asset, fixed income, equities, and foreign exchange for global and emerging markets. Combining our macro themes and understanding of international economics with the expertise of our market strategists, we produce tactical asset allocation recommendations and strategy ideas clearly and consistently. We can also undertake custom forecasting and scenario analysis to examine the implications for financial assets and your investment portfolio of alternative economic outcomes.
Cross border lending and trade finance
Our sovereign and currency risk metrics, based on an impartial view of fundamentals, are used to structure and price commercial loans and trade finance transactions. Building upon our unique risk benchmarking tools, we can drill down to examine the key vulnerabilities that present a threat to the outlook for your investments, including potential downside scenarios that could result in sovereign distress and/or sharp currency depreciation.
Global Macro Service
Monitor macro events and their potential impact.Find Out More
Global Economic Model
Our Global Economic Model provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting and testing scenarios.Find Out More
Global Asset Manager Service
A complete solution for asset managers who require convenient access to high quality, market-relevant analysis on key global markets.Find Out More
Global Scenarios Service
Explore the implications of key risks to the world economy.Find Out More
Unbiased scenarios designed specifically for IFRS 9Find Out More
Global Macro Strategy Service
Global insight and opportunity at your fingertips.Find Out More
FX Risk Tool
A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the risk of a sharp currency depreciation.Find Out More
Key themes 2022: Strong recovery amid shifting risks
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in 2022. But next year will herald a new phase in the recovery, driven by distinct shifts in the key macroeconomic trends.
1 out of 3
“CMHC’s Stress Testing and ORSA team has started this year using Oxford Economics for the purpose of stress-testing. Our experience has been very positive. The software is sound, intuitive and user friendly. But most of all, it allows the user to understand the links between the variables and for a certain degree of customisation.”
2 out of 3
“Engaging the service has brought nothing but benefits to us.”
3 out of 3
“Due to Intesa Sanpaolo’s long-standing relationship with Oxford Economics and on the occasion of the development (and subsequent updates) of the above-mentioned credit models, we have had the opportunity to highly appreciate the outstanding level of professionality, competence, and accuracy of the Oxford Economics’ Team, both in their global research activity and in the implementation and finalisation of our bespoke Credit Project.”
Resources and Events
Greater downside risks are explored in our Q4 IFRS9 and CECL scenarios
Can the banking system really rescue the Chinese property sector? | Beyond the Headlines
In The Media
Strong print for the Australian labour market: what’s next?
Too soon to call an end to the house price correction
Asia’s medium term growth outlook and its implications for major cities
A health-check on China’s real estate and construction industries: Are we still on life support?
The mitigating circumstances around EM public debt threats
Sailing ahead: how cruise supply will help to sustain demand recovery
Russia invades Ukraine, damaging the global economy
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