Banking and Finance
Sophisticated tools and analysis for financial institutions from the experts in the economics of finance and banking
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Overview
Financial institutions need to balance investment, lending, and strategy decisions against a complicated, ever-changing and uncertain international economics environment. Experts in the economics of finance and banking, Oxford Economics provides clients with macroeconomic and market analysis combining a quantitative and qualitative approach to support decision-making.
How we can help
We support banks, investment banking organisations, asset managers and other financial institutions with forecasts, scenarios and risk assessment tools that can be used to support investment decisions, meet regulatory requirements or promote their organisation as a thought leader.
Stress testing and scenarios
With over 40 years of experience producing independent forecasts and scenarios, our macro-modelling and scenario-planning solutions meet the stress-testing requirements of domestic and international regulators. In addition to our expertise in the economics of finance and banking, for managers of alternative assets, including real estate and infrastructure, we can also help with transaction due diligence and ongoing performance reviews.
Asset allocation and investment strategy
Our asset manager service covers cross asset, fixed income, equities, and foreign exchange for global and emerging markets. Combining our macro themes and understanding of international economics with the expertise of our market strategists, we produce tactical asset allocation recommendations and strategy ideas clearly and consistently. We can also undertake custom forecasting and scenario analysis to examine the implications for financial assets and your investment portfolio of alternative economic outcomes.
Cross border lending and trade finance
Our sovereign and currency risk metrics, based on an impartial view of fundamentals, are used to structure and price commercial loans and trade finance transactions. Building upon our unique risk benchmarking tools, we can drill down to examine the key vulnerabilities that present a threat to the outlook for your investments, including potential downside scenarios that could result in sovereign distress and/or sharp currency depreciation.
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Key themes 2022: Strong recovery amid shifting risks
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in 2022. But next year will herald a new phase in the recovery, driven by distinct shifts in the key macroeconomic trends.
“CMHC’s Stress Testing and ORSA team has started this year using Oxford Economics for the purpose of stress-testing. Our experience has been very positive. The software is sound, intuitive and user friendly. But most of all, it allows the user to understand the links between the variables and for a certain degree of customisation.”
“Engaging the service has brought nothing but benefits to us.”
“Due to Intesa Sanpaolo’s long-standing relationship with Oxford Economics and on the occasion of the development (and subsequent updates) of the above-mentioned credit models, we have had the opportunity to highly appreciate the outstanding level of professionality, competence, and accuracy of the Oxford Economics’ Team, both in their global research activity and in the implementation and finalisation of our bespoke Credit Project.”
Resources and Events
Blog
Toss-up US elections increase downside risks again for our Q3 IFRS 9 and CECL scenarios
Research Briefing
Japan’s political calendar and yen will delay a rate hike to December
Research Briefing
Japan’s BoJ is now likely to front-load policy normalisation
Research Briefing
Yen volatility – so far, just a tremor for global markets
Webinar
Nordics: Growing tailwinds to support economic recovery
Webinar
Cutting back – a low energy demand pathway to net zero
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Our latest Emerging Market macro forecasts and asset views
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Global AI demand the biggest tailwind to Asian exports
Russia invades Ukraine, damaging the global economy
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Contact us
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