
Overview
Financial institutions need to balance investment, lending, and strategy decisions against a complicated, ever-changing and uncertain global economic environment. Oxford Economics provides clients with macroeconomic and market analysis combining a quantitative and qualitative approach to support decision-making.
How we can help
We support banks, asset managers and other financial institutions with forecasts, scenarios and risk assessment tools that can be used to support investment decisions, meet regulatory requirements or promote their organisation as a thought leader.

Stress testing and scenarios
With over 30 years of experience producing independent forecasts and scenarios, our macro-modelling and scenario-planning solutions meet the stress-testing requirements of domestic and international regulators. For managers of alternative assets including real estate and infrastructure, we can also help with transaction due diligence and ongoing performance reviews.

Asset allocation and investment strategy
Our asset manager service covers cross asset, fixed income, equities, and foreign exchange for global and emerging markets. Combining our macro themes with the expertise of our market strategists, we produce tactical asset allocation recommendations and strategy ideas clearly and consistently. We can also undertake custom forecasting and scenario analysis to examine the implications for financial assets and your investment portfolio of alternative economic outcomes.

Cross border lending and trade finance
Our sovereign and currency risk metrics, based on an impartial view of fundamentals, are used to structure and price commercial loans and trade finance transactions. Building upon our unique risk benchmarking tools, we can drill down to examine the key vulnerabilities that present a threat to the outlook for your investments, including potential downside scenarios that could result in sovereign distress and/or sharp currency depreciation.
Recommended Services


Global Economic Model
Our Global Economic Model provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting and testing scenarios.
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Global Asset Manager Service
A complete solution for asset managers who require convenient access to high quality, market-relevant analysis on key global markets.
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FX Risk Tool
A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the risk of a sharp currency depreciation.
Find Out More
Key themes 2022: Strong recovery amid shifting risks
Diminishing economic disruption and uncertainty, stemming from the pandemic and ensuing supply-side bottlenecks, bode well for a still-strong recovery in 2022. But next year will herald a new phase in the recovery, driven by distinct shifts in the key macroeconomic trends.

“CMHC’s Stress Testing and ORSA team has started this year using Oxford Economics for the purpose of stress-testing. Our experience has been very positive. The software is sound, intuitive and user friendly. But most of all, it allows the user to understand the links between the variables and for a certain degree of customization.”

“Engaging the service has brought nothing but benefits to us.”

“Due to Intesa Sanpaolo’s long-standing relationship with Oxford Economics and on the occasion of the development (and subsequent updates) of the above-mentioned credit models, we have had the opportunity to highly appreciate the outstanding level of professionality, competence, and accuracy of the Oxford Economics’ Team, both in their global research activity and in the implementation and finalisation of our bespoke Credit Project.”
Resources and Events

News
Australia’s CAPEX falters in Q1, with cost inflation to test activity

News
Anchors away – RBA change course and raise rates

Research Briefing
Technological decoupling is the real deglobalisation threat

Research Briefing
Government debt issuance set to dwarf ECB reinvestments

Webinar
Inflation and growth, best enemies?

Webinar
Inflation et croissance, meilleurs ennemis ?

Webinar
Africa’s ability to adapt in a changing landscape

Webinar
WEBINAIRE ÉTÉ 2022 : quelles tendances pour le tourisme international en France ? – Atout France

Research Briefing
Russia invades Ukraine, damaging the global economy
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Contact us
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