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Economics for Asset Managers

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Latest Reports

Explore our latest reports to navigate the complexities of today’s economic landscape and gain a thorough understanding of how the macrocycle influences investment returns.

The US labor market is not overheating

The US labor market is not overheating

Explore insights on the balanced labor market, productivity growth, and the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook amidst evolving economic conditions.

Read more: The US labor market is not overheating
The BoJ hiked a policy rate and will end the tapering of JGB purchases in FY2027

The BoJ hiked a policy rate and will end the tapering of JGB purchases in FY2027

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its policy rate from 0.75% to 1% on June 16 despite the uncertainty around the Middle East conflict. The BoJ kept its forward guidance that it will continue interest rate normalization. However, the persistent perception in FX markets that the BoJ is behind the curve will likely continue to put pressure on the central bank to hike the policy rate faster and higher in the coming quarters.

Read more: The BoJ hiked a policy rate and will end the tapering of JGB purchases in FY2027
US-Iran agreement isn’t yet a game-changer for the global outlook

US-Iran agreement isn’t yet a game-changer for the global outlook

The recent US-Iran agreement aims to stabilize oil markets, but uncertainties and regional tensions may slow progress in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz.

Read more: US-Iran agreement isn’t yet a game-changer for the global outlook
US PCE Nowcast – Headline inflation will creep above 4%

US PCE Nowcast – Headline inflation will creep above 4%

Inflation pressures are rising due to energy costs and supply shortages. Discover how these trends may impact the economy and potential rate cuts.

Read more: US PCE Nowcast – Headline inflation will creep above 4%
US Tariff Monitor – The new tariff regime begins to take shape

US Tariff Monitor – The new tariff regime begins to take shape

The new tariff regime is shaping trade dynamics, with key countries facing varying rates. Investigations into labour practices may lead to further adjustments.

Read more: US Tariff Monitor – The new tariff regime begins to take shape
Global investment growth to stay slow

Global investment growth to stay slow

The global investment growth trend is still weak, with G7 capital spending expected to rise just 2% this year.

Read more: Global investment growth to stay slow
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Understand and Anticipate Interest Rate Changes with Trusted Oxford Economics Research

Understand and Anticipate Interest Rate Changes with Trusted Oxford Economics Research

Over the past 12 months, the pace of disinflation has proceeded in line with our forecast and the outlook for monetary policy and yields has played out broadly in line with our expectations.
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