Economics of a second Trump presidency

Date: 29 April 2024

Continuing our series of analyses on the 2024 election, we modeled the macroeconomic impact of a second Donald Trump presidency. If the former president wins on Election Day, he will most likely return to the White House with Republican majorities in the House of Representatives and Senate. Assuming full Republican control of government after the 2024 election, we constructed two scenarios that bookend a range of outcomes for the US economy. This webinar will discuss the results of the Trump scenarios, including for inflation, GDP, monetary policy, trade and immigration.

Note: Can’t make it to any of the sessions? Feel free to register for any session and we will automatically share the recording with you 3 hours after the webinar has finished.

Ryan Sweet

Chief US Economist

+1 (646) 668 5790

Ryan Sweet

Chief US Economist

New York, United States

Ryan Sweet is the Chief US Economist at Oxford Economics. He is responsible for forecasting and assessing the US macroeconomic outlook and how it will influence monetary policy and financial markets. Ryan is among the most accurate high-frequency forecasters of the U.S. economy, according to MarketWatch and Bloomberg LP.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Ryan led real-time economics at Moody’s Analytics and was a member of the U.S. macroeconomics team. He was also head of the firm’s monetary policy research, following actions by the Federal Reserve and examining its potential impact on the U.S. economy.

Ryan is an adjunct professor in the Economics and Finance Department at West Chester University of Pennsylvania. He received a master’s degree in finance from John’s Hopkins University, a master’s degree in economics from the University of Delaware, and a bachelor’s degree in economics from Washington College.

Bernard Yaros

Lead US Economist

+1 (646) 786 1879

Bernard Yaros

Lead US Economist

New York, United States

Bernard is a Lead US Economist at Oxford Economics. He was previously an Assistant Director at Moody’s Analytics, where he analyzed the U.S. economy, focusing on federal fiscal policy. His work on the federal government has been widely cited by the media, members of Congress, and even the White House.

Bernard holds a Master’s degree in Economics from the Barcelona School of Economics and a B.A. in Political Economy from Williams College.

Back to Events

Related Services

Current Expected Credit Loss (CECL)
US Forecasting Service

Access to short- and long-term analysis, scenarios and forecasts for the US economy.

Find Out More
washington, united states
US Industry Service

Outlook for 261 detailed sectors in the NAICS classification.

Find Out More
US States and Metro Service

Forecasts, scenarios and analysis for US states, metropolitan statistical areas and counties.

Find Out More
globe
Global Macro Service

Monitor macro events and their potential impact.

Find Out More