Global | Coronavirus Watch: IMF forecasts too downbeat
19 Oct 2020 - The latest IMF global economic forecasts point to a more muted recovery than our own forecasts imply.
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Global | Calibrating a medium-term economic comeback from Covid
13 Oct 2020 - Our medium-term forecasts are for global GDP to fall short of pre-crisis trend growth by around 4% by Q4 2024 and with risks skewed to the downside we see a slightly smaller shortfall relative to our pre-crisis baseline forecasts.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Down, again
12 Oct 2020 - We have revised down our global GDP growth forecast for 2021 further to 5.2% from 5.4%. The new forecast is over 1ppt lower than we anticipated in June.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: All consumers not equal
05 Oct 2020 - Economies that implemented lockdowns earlier in the year suffered substantial plunges in consumer spending across the board. But for household incomes, the period is one of contrasting fortunes.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Outlook for Q4 dims
29 Sept 2020 - GDP data will reveal record-breaking growth rates for many economies in Q3. But we see clear signs that the recovery has faded through the quarter and that growth in Q4 will be markedly weaker.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Contrasting retail fortunes
21 Sept 2020 - The latest data show that retail spending growth in the US and UK is slowing but remains a relative bright spot for both economies in contrast to China. There, retail spending growth is lagging behind other sectors.
Global | Global Risk Survey: Recovery may be longer and slower
15 Sept 2020 - Fears of a second coronavirus wave have eased over the past month, according to our September 2020 flash survey of risk perceptions.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: 2021 GDP forecast down again
14 Sept 2020 - As we previously warned, our latest economic forecast contained a downward revision to global GDP growth in 2021.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Recovery flatters to deceive
07 Sept 2020 - Although the closely watched PMI surveys generally continued to strengthen in August, a number of other timely indicators revealed evidence that the post lockdown growth bounce may already be fading.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Global growth will likely fall short
01 Sept 2020 - The ongoing strong tone of economic data confirms what we have long argued: A large chunk of the lockdown slump in activity will have been reversed in Q3, with further solid progress likely in Q4 2020.
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