Understand the economic impact of the coronavirus.
02 July 2020 - The pickup in credit growth so far this year has been in line with the mandate given during the May National People’s Congress (NPC) meetings and recent policy easing measures.
30 June 2020 - The recent downward revision to the IMF’s economic forecast was no surprise given the news flow over the past three months.
24 June 2020 - Although the coronavirus outbreak has the capacity to unleash new inflationary forces on the global economy, it’s also exacerbating the powerful disinflationary trends of the past decade.
22 June 2020 - Corporate borrowing is accelerating as a result of the coronavirus crisis. In part, this is a healthy development as firms look to ride out a period of low or even zero sales.
22 June 2020 - The release of more hard economic data for May provided further evidence that global activity is already rebounding fairly sharply.
15 June 2020 - Our global GDP forecast for 2020 has not changed significantly this month, ending the run of downgrades, but the pattern of growth has shifted.
10 June 2020 - The debate about whether the Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) should “print money” to fund increasing government spending is heated.
10 June 2020 - Our structural vulnerability scorecard shows that retail trade, leisure and hospitality, and real estate are most exposed to the Global Coronavirus Recession (GCR).
08 June 2020 - Large fiscal deficits, QE and government loan schemes are giving a strong push to global credit creation and money supply growth, which should support the recovery as coronavirus-related restrictions are lifted.
05 June 2020 - In spite of small clusters of outbreaks in China, Hong Kong, South Korea and Japan, these economies, together with Taiwan, Vietnam, Australia and Thailand are broadly moving in the right direction, with covid-19 basically contained, governments generally easing restrictions and workplace mobility rising.
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