Global | Coronavirus Watch: New hurdles for supply chains
17 January 2022 - After expanding strongly in Q2, global GDP growth slowed in Q3 in response to the Delta disruption and ongoing supply chain problems.
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Global | Coronavirus Watch: Q3’s GDP softness may be a blip
16 November 2021 - After expanding strongly in Q2, global GDP growth slowed in Q3 in response to the Delta disruption and ongoing supply chain problems.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: A further downgrade to growth
19 October 2021 - We have cut our global GDP growth forecasts again, and now have reduced our 2021 estimate by a total of 0.7pp since June in response to the spread of Delta, supply-chain disruption, and higher inflation.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Inflation pressures bubble up
20 September 2021 - The recent broad-based rises in core inflation across a range of advanced economies has reopened the debate as to whether this year’s rise in inflation really is a purely transitory phenomenon.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Stresses in supply chains build
06 September 2021 - Delta remains the primary threat to the recovery, but we also think that the drag from continuing supply-chain disruption will be critical in the near term.
US | Pandemic unemployment benefits ending for millions
26 August 2021 - More than 11 million individuals will lose access to emergency unemployment benefits at the end of next week creating a headwind for personal income and consumer spending.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Transitioning to 2022
23 August 2021 - We have cut our near-term growth forecasts, in part due to the spread of Delta, and are likely to fine-tune them further in September. But we don’t see Delta as a cause for major panic.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Delta risks versus inflation risks
09 August 2021 - We estimate world GDP surpassed pre pandemic levels in Q2. But in recent weeks surging cases of the Delta variant have added to concerns over the strength and breadth of the recovery.
US | Positioning for rate normalisation
04 August 2021 - We see the strong pull back in long-term US yields since the peak of the reflation trade this year as an opportunity to enter new positions that capitalise on future macro trends driven by mid-cycle dynamics.
Global | Coronavirus Watch: Delta dilemmas
26 July 2021 - The spread of the Delta coronavirus variant appears to have usurped inflation as the key concern.
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