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We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
Will Asia construction remain the victor amid escalating construction costs and the growing risk of global recession?

with April Skinner and Nicholas Fearnley | Online | November 30, 2022

While Asia has seen a surge in construction activity following the gradual fading in Covid restrictions across the region, there still remains a significant backlog of projects yet to be completed. Supply chain issues and consequent escalating construction costs has not only pushed out construction timelines but has seen the destruction of construction demand. The sector is at risk of further headwinds, with the cooling in external demand and increased risk of global recession. In this webinar we will discuss the outlook for construction activity in Asia including the risks and implications of increasing construction costs and global recession.

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Webinar
Asian Economic Outlook for 2023

with Arup Raha and Gabriel Sterne | Online | November 16, 2022

Asian economies are no strangers to economic shocks but this time is different. In particular, China’s growth has faltered, the Fed is raising rates, and energy prices are high. This combination is unprecedented. Moreover, there is limited counter-cyclical policy space. Arup Raha will present the Asia team’s outlook on the upcoming year – the likely outcomes and main risks.

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Webinar
Navigating the challenging outlook for Asian real estate markets

with Nick Wilson and Innes McFee | Online | September 28, 2022

Intensifying headwinds from more aggressive monetary tightening is impacting the outlook for Asian real estate markets. Additional challenges regarding soaring construction costs, upward pressure on cap rates, and prolonged covid restrictions are adding an additional layer of complexity to the region. Join us as we take a look at various aspects of the investment landscape to identify the forthcoming threats and opportunities.

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Webinar
Asian monetary policy and FX outlook amid aggressive Fed tightening

Online | August 18, 2022

There are several large shocks currently affecting Asian economies: a hawkish Fed; sluggish Chinese growth; and high energy prices. To this add a US dollar that is stronger than it has been in about 20 years. How are Asian economies likely to navigate these turbulent times? Our economists will focus on the likely direction of monetary policy in Asian and the consequent path of key financial variables in the region.

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Webinar
2021 Australian Census Insights: Lockdowns, Migration, and Household Formation

with Timothy Hibbert and Maree Kilroy | Online | June 30, 2022

The first tranche of data from the Australian 2021 Census is due for release on the 28th of June. Representing the most comprehensive snapshot of the country, the census provides key insights to the economic, social and cultural make-up of Australia. In this webinar we will discuss the topical housing, population, and employment data points, including what they mean for our forecast outlook.

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Webinar
The Impact of Climate Change on Food Prices: Evidence from Southeast Asia

with Tom Rogers and James Lambert | Online | June 23, 2022

Tom Rogers (Head of Macro Consulting, Asia) will discuss our recent work with Food Industry Asia, looking at the impact of climate change on food prices. Tom will look at how Southeast Asia’s climate has changed – and will continue to do so, the econometric evidence about the impact to prices from historic and future warming, the potential cost to food prices from a successful net-zero transition, and what governments can do to protect consumers.

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Webinar
Will Asia construction survive rising construction costs?

with April Skinner, Dr Nicholas Fearnley and Luka Raznatovic | Online | June 7, 2022

The construction sector has seen a surge in activity following the gradual fading in Covid restrictions across different countries. However, the Russia-Ukraine conflict and continued lockdowns in China have further exacerbated supply chain constraints and increasing construction costs. In this webinar we will discuss the outlook for construction activity in Asia including the risks and implications of increasing construction costs.

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Webinar
Will the strong run of Australian maintenance activity continue?

with Dr Nicholas Fearnley and Luka Raznatovic | Online | May 16, 2022

Australia’s maintenance market has grown strongly as COVID stimulus coincided with a ramp up in the maintenance needs of the mining sector. While governments are expected to continue to support the industry, growth in activity is set to subside over the next few years. In this webinar, Dr Nicholas Fearnley and Luka Raznatovic will be discussing the outlook for maintenance activity. They will highlight which sectors have the most promising outlook, and discuss the key risks and opportunities facing the maintenance market.

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Webinar
Asia: What do rising inflation pressures mean for growth

with Priyanka Kishore and Tommy Wu | Online | May 6, 2022

Asia’s inflation troubles have increased with rising import prices adding on to upside pressures from domestic sources. We forecast consumer inflation to keep rising into Q3 but remain within manageable levels. Risks to our inflation view are to the upside.

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Webinar
Build-to-rent in Australia: lift-off for a developing investment class

with Michael Dyer and Timothy Hibbert | Online | April 14, 2022

An immature asset class to date, the Australian residential build-to-rent (BTR) sector is currently undergoing a period of rapid growth. A pipeline of around 10,000 units is expected to commence over 2022 and 2023, with most mooted developments located in Victoria. Modest performance and heightened cash flow risks in other property asset classes, alongside supportive state government legislative shifts and a tightening rental market are providing significant tailwinds.

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Webinar
When will Chinese outbound travel return to prominence – and who will benefit?

with Dave Goodger and Michael Shoory | Online | March 16, 2022

Chinese borders remain closed to the majority of inbound and outbound travellers, despite many other borders across the world having re-opened. The restrictions on Chinese outbound travel, in particular, is of importance to the Travel & Tourism sector due to the prominence of China as a source market. Prior to the pandemic, China had grown to become the largest source market for international travel spending and was a major source market for destinations around the globe, especially those elsewhere in Asia-Pacific. This webinar will look at how China’s tighter restrictions may limit the travel recovery for many destinations, when we can expect China to return to its pre-pandemic prominence as a source market, and who will benefit the most once Chinese travellers return. We will also illustrate what would be required for destination recovery from other source markets while Chinese travellers remain absent.

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Webinar
Rising in the East: how global industry is shifting towards Asia Pacific?

with Andy Logan, Jeremy Leonard and Emily Gladstone | Online | March 9, 2022

Global industrial production is forecast to shift towards Asia Pacific over the next couple of decades. But the speed of that transformation is predicted to vary across industrial sectors. The webinar will examine the drivers behind this trend and investigate the extent to which this is due to production shrinking in Europe and North America, or just faster growth in the Asia Pacific region.

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Webinar
Has Asia’s inflation peaked?

with Priyanka Kishore and Sung-Eun Jung | Online | February 11, 2022

CPI inflation is on a uptrend in Asia, but to a lesser degree than the rest of the world. However, with producer prices continuing to increase at a strong pace, concerns of knock on impact on retail inflation have risen. In this webinar, we investigate the likelihood of PPI to CPI passthrough across Asia and what that implies for our inflation forecasts.

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Webinar
Can the strength in Australian industrial property be sustained?

with Lee Walker | Online | December 2, 2021

Industrial property across Australia’s eastern seaboard markets has been a standout performer over the last few years. In the occupancy markets, demand is strong, supercharged by pandemic related drivers. Industrial property construction is also high, but not enough to prevent a rapid reduction in vacancies, driving rental growth.

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Webinar
China in 2022: key themes

Online | November 26, 2021

As China’s economy is slowing down amid a real estate downturn and its zero Covid tolerance is holding back a consumption recovery, we explore the outlook for the economy and policy next year. We discuss the key themes that we expect to characterize China’s economic developments and policy in 2022, as well as its relations with the rest of the world.

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Webinar
Scaling the great wall of trade barriers

with BIS Oxford Economics | Online | November 25, 2021

Australia's trade relationship with China has been rocky over the past year. When trade tensions first emerged, we quantified which products we saw as most vulnerable to trade barriers in China, and the data over 2021 to date have largely borne out these findings. However, Australia's overall export performance has weathered these disruptions reasonably well, with exporters on average able to pivot into alternate markets.

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Webinar
[Webinar] 世界経済の展望と回復へのリスク

Online | October 29, 2021

2021年10月29日に「世界経済の展望と回復へのリスク」をテーマとして、日本語のウェビナーを開催いたします。 今次日本語ウェビナーでは、2022年にかけての世界経済を展望し、今年よりは幾分減速しながらもしっかりとした回復が続くという弊社見通しに対する主なリスクを議論します。具体的には、①米国経済のスタグフレーション・リスク、②FEDの政策見通しと円の行方、③サプライチェーン問題の先行き、④中国恒大問題の影響、⑤新しい資本主義論をどう考えるべきか、といったテーマをカバー出来ればと考えております。

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