Asia – Inflation and monetary policy outlook
Inflation is back in focus amid persistent supply chain disruptions and soaring input prices. Is Asia more insulated than the rest of the world? What are the implications for monetary policy normalisation? We discuss how the impact will vary across different APAC economies.
Priyanka Kishore
Head of India and South East Asia Macro Services
Priyanka Kishore
Head of India and South East Asia Macro Services
Priyanka Kishore | Head of India and South East Asia Macro Services
Priyanka Kishore has more than a decade’s experience in macroeconomic research and forecasting across emerging markets, with a special focus on India and ASEAN. She currently leads Oxford Economics’ Singapore Global Macro Services team and is responsible for overseeing the firm’s South and South East Asia research. Her role includes co-ordinating OE’s Asia views and forecasts, undertaking related consultancy work and doing client presentations. In addition, she specializes in macro-modelling and scenario analysis aimed at quantifying the short and medium-term impact of exogenous shocks on different economies.
Sian Fenner
Lead Economist
Sian Fenner
Lead Economist
Sian Fenner | Lead Economist
Sian Fenner is a Lead Asia Economist at Oxford Economics and is involved in the forecast and presentation of the Asian macroeconomic views with a lead role in our coverage of Singapore, Malaysia, Vietnam and Japan. Sian re-joined Oxford Economics in 2013 and has over 20 years’ experience as a macroeconomic forecaster in the public and private sector primarily focused on the Asia-Pacific region. Prior to joining Oxford Economics Sian worked for Lloyds Bank as the lead emerging market economist responsible for forecasting the economic outlook, fx and monetary policy.
Related Services
Event
Is sterling in the midst of a sell-off or a full-blown crisis?
Policy announcements are coming thick and fast in the UK at the moment and have been greeted with the most significant sell-off in UK assets in decades. Is this a case of markets overreacting or have the UK public finances been put on an unsustainable footing? Will the Bank of England react to the fall in sterling or are markets setting themselves up to be disappointed? We will set out our views on all these topics and set out the conditions under which we think this volatility will subside.
Find Out More
Event
Pre-emptive debt restructuring: a viable scenario for fragile African sovereigns?
The expiry of Covid-19-related support coupled with a surge in the goods import bill has exacerbated pressure on external trade positions for various African sovereigns. We see headwinds intensifying from 2023 onwards in the form of a deepening drought in East Africa, populist-leaning policies aimed at appeasing voter frustrations, large redemptions of external public debt facilities, and moral hazard. The risk profile is fragmented but a common thread can be found across Africa: sovereigns face an uphill battle in meeting the projected external funding requirements. With the risks of disorderly default on the rise and informed by the Zambian blueprint, we investigate the case for pre-emptive debt restructuring for fiscally fragile nations including Egypt, Ghana, and Kenya.
Find Out More