Asia: What do rising inflation pressures mean for growth
Asia’s inflation troubles have increased with rising import prices adding on to upside pressures from domestic sources. We forecast consumer inflation to keep rising into Q3 but remain within manageable levels. This will limit the drag on growth from inflation. Risks to our inflation view are to the upside. However, we think that they will have to worsen substantially from here for runaway inflation.
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Priyanka leads Oxford Economics’ Singapore Macro and Investor Services team and is responsible for overseeing the firm’s South and South East Asia research. She has been with Oxford Economics since June 2015 and works with a team of high caliber economists to produce significant thematic and bottom-up research on key issues across the region. Her expertise lies in analyzing and forecasting macro fundamentals over the short and long-term. In addition, she specializes in macro-modelling and scenario analysis, aimed at quantifying the impact of exogenous shocks on economies. Before joining Oxford economics, Priyanka worked as a strategist and economist in the banking sector. She was in charge of South Asia FX views and trading strategies at the Standard Chartered Bank. Prior to that, she was Head of Emerging Asia Research and Senior Economist at ICICI Bank, India’s largest private bank. Priyanka holds a Master’s in Economics from Delhi School of Economics, India.
Tommy Wu is a Lead Economist at Oxford Economics. Based in Hong Kong, he covers China macroeconomic research and forecasting. Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Tommy was an economist at the Research Department in Hong Kong Monetary Authority. Tommy holds a PhD in Economics from Queen’s University, Canada.
