Macro Strategy Themes
In-depth analysis of a single current issue that is relevant for investors, and provides high-conviction tactical views, both directional and relative value.
Economic models and scenarios
A fully integrated forecasting and scenarios framework for 80 countries
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Models and Scenarios
A single forecast for planning ignores the complexities of the global economic environment, which is heavily influenced by external factors that are challenging to predict. Recent years alone have seen Coronavirus (Covid-19), Brexit, a sharp decline in the price of oil, a slowdown in China, and unexpected election results in major economies.
Our fully-integrated and transparent Global Economic Model provides a rigorous and consistent framework that allows users to evaluate the effects of their own assumptions on the global economy. Advanced software allows you to build your own scenarios, export data sets, and view outputs in dashboards, heat maps, or charts. The model can be customised to reflect your organisation’s own strategic challenges. To help with the planning process, each quarter our economists create scenarios with complete forecast data sets to evaluate topical economic and political events.
Our model and scenarios are used to support a wide range of activities such as impact analysis, stress testing, business performance forecasts, due diligence, and market sizing.