Events and Webinars

We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Event
Global Economic Outlook Conference 2025

In-Person | February 5, 2025

Event Global Economic Outlook Conference 2025 5th February 2025 – 09.30am to 6pm 155 Bishopsgate, London EC2M 3TQ Growth in a time of shifting economic policy. As the pandemic disruption has dissipated, the global economy has settled back into a familiar pattern of weak growth and close to target inflation. But beneath the surface the...

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Event
米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ~産業別需要予測と成長の鍵~

In-Person | November 21, 2024

Event 米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ~産業別需要予測と成長の鍵~ 21st November 2024 – 3:00pm to 5:00pm 東京都千代田区大手町1-4-1  米大統領選後の世界経済の展望 ~産業別需要予測と成長の鍵~    今次セミナーでは、米国大統領選の結果を踏まえた2025年の世界経済の最新見通しをご説明したうえで、そうしたマクロ経済見通しが各産業の直面する需要にどのような影響を与えるか在日代表の長井滋人とエコノミストの土屋誠人よりご紹介します。 世界的に進む利下げは製造業や建設業を中心に2025年の産業活動を押し上げます。当社のアプローチは産業毎の金利感応度だけでなく、原材料や建材などのサプライチェーンを通じた関連産業への波及効果も勘案しています。 経済モデルを用いた当社の分析アプローチは複雑なマクロ変数間の相互作用を捉えるうえで有効なだけではなく、世界経済を巡る不確実性が高い状況で「中東情勢の悪化」「台湾有事」「高金利の長期化」などのシナリオ分析を行うことで、100超の産業別の売上、生産、投資の見通しについてリスクを定量的に把握でき、ビジネス上のリスク管理と高度な需要予測を行うことを可能にします。 ◆こんな方におすすめ:    開催概要 日時:2024年11月21日(木)15:00-17:00※会場開催のみです。リアルタイム配信・アーカイブ配信はありません。  開催場所:株式会社国際協力銀行9F講堂 住所:東京都千代田区大手町1-4-1 Google Map: https://maps.app.goo.gl/7c9DMHeCH6rgV2ZX8 アクセス: 東京メトロ東西線 竹橋駅下車(大手町寄り) 3b出口直結東京メトロ・都営地下鉄 大手町駅(千代田線、半蔵門線、丸の内線、都営三田線) 徒歩5分東京メトロ・都営地下鉄神保町駅 徒歩5分  参加費:無料 使用言語:日本語定員:120名(定員に達し次第、受付終了となります) 締め切り:2024年11月14日(木)18:00  主催:オックスフォードエコノミクス、一般財団法人海外投融資情報財団後援:株式会社国際協力銀行 Agenda Speakers Register Now Related Services

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Webinar
Nordics: Growing tailwinds to support economic recovery

with Daniel Kral, Rory Fennessy, Lawrence Harper-Scott and Nico Palesch | Online | October 24, 2024

With inflation down significantly across advanced markets, major central banks have started to cut interest rates and households finally enjoy real income gains. But there are also reasons to be cautious, as geopolitical risks remain abundant. In this webinar, we will unpack the drivers of our near-term macro, industry, and cities outlook for the Nordic economies.

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Webinar
What 2025 and a second Trump presidency holds for Latin America

with Tim Hunter and Mauricio Monge | Online | September 27, 2024

Growth dynamics next year will differ across Latin America's six largest economies – Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru – but most economies will experience an acceleration in growth. However, this contrasts with a consumer outlook which is losing steam, and instead we see investment and trade as driving higher growth in 2025. This will come with support from US and domestic monetary policy easing, as inflation will broadly be at target. We will explore the stories affecting individual economies, such as the risk of judicial reform in Mexico to investment and the impact of President Milei’s radical reforms in Argentina. November will bring the US presidential election, and we will examine the impacts on Latin America of a new trade war under a second Trump presidency.

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Webinar
Treading carefully on the path to recovery

with Riccardo Marcelli Fabiani | Online | September 24, 2024

The recovery continues but shows signs of cracking, and some measures of inflation keep dragging their feet. Shaky confidence casts doubt on growth shifting up a gear, whilst the European Central Bank remains reluctant to signal a much looser monetary policy. Will growth lose steam amidst an industrial sector still in the doldrums? Will the ECB wreck the ship in its effort to tame inflation? The eurozone economy had a decent first half of the year, but the pace of the recovery going forward remains highly uncertain.

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Webinar
Industrial recovery struggles to gain momentum

with Abby Samp and Dominic Dobryniewski | Online | September 23, 2024

Industrial production growth has improved relative to last year, but still trails the broader economy. The cycle has bottomed out and remains on course for a gradual recovery, but the lagged impact of past monetary policy tightening and continued central bank caution around inflation, particularly in Europe, means momentum will take time to build. Join us for a full summary of the outlook across key sectors.

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Webinar
Global B2B outlook for 2025: capturing opportunities in a complex year

with Alex Mackle, Martina Bozadzhieva and Marcos Casarin | Online | September 5, 2024

This webinar will provide a global macro perspective B2B leaders can use to confidently inform their 2025 planning process. We'll offer insights on key drivers of B2B demand, outlooks for major markets, industry-level opportunities and risks, as well as insights to inform assumptions on inflation, input costs, and credit costs. We'll also provide an overview of scenarios and risks B2B companies should consider as they pressure-test their assumptions for the next year.

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Webinar
Global consumer outlook for 2025: new opportunities ahead

with Alex Mackle, Martina Bozadzhieva and Marcos Casarin | Online | September 4, 2024

This webinar will provide a global macro perspective B2C leaders can use to confidently inform their 2025 planning process. We'll offer insights on consumer opportunities and risks, demand forecasts across major markets, expectations for FX, inflation, credit, and input costs, as well as risks and scenarios to consider.

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Webinar
Inflation to fall further as ‘wartime characteristics’ fade

with Adam Slater and Ben May | Online | July 24, 2024

We show how the outburst of inflation in 2021-2023 can be traced in large part to ‘wartime’-style fiscal and monetary policies and pandemic-related distortions to labour and product markets. We also outline how these sources of inflationary pressure are now receding, which points to inflation rates in the G7 continuing to fall to 2% or lower this year and next.

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Webinar
How the forecast may change after election day

with Ryan Sweet and Bernard Yaros | Online | July 15, 2024

During the next presidential term, the economy will receive a net boost from federal policymaking, and inflation will come in stronger, leading to a more cautious easing cycle by the Federal Reserve. This is the takeaway no matter the president and the political balance of power in Congress. In this webinar we will to take stock of the economy's performance across our six scenarios – two each for Trump, divided government, and the two most recent simulations for Biden.

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Webinar
Will consumer spending drive short-term growth?

with Dmitriy Gruzinov, Scott McEwan and Stephen Adams | Online | July 11, 2024

Earlier in the year, the speed of the disinflationary process peaked and headline inflation has returned to target ranges in most countries, except for Mexico and Colombia. While services inflation remain high, we expect a broad deceleration of core items, partially offsetting upside pressure from a likely rebound in volatile non-core prices. In the next 12 months, we expect most headline inflation to remain broadly within target ranges. However, multiple factors have narrowed the space for policy cuts in the region. Join our expert Economists as we explore these factors and how you can navigate these upcoming scenarios.

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Webinar
How to navigate the latest policy adjustments and disinflation in Latin America

with Joan Domene and Tim Hunter | Online | July 10, 2024

Earlier in the year, the speed of the disinflationary process peaked and headline inflation has returned to target ranges in most countries, except for Mexico and Colombia. While services inflation remain high, we expect a broad deceleration of core items, partially offsetting upside pressure from a likely rebound in volatile non-core prices. In the next 12 months, we expect most headline inflation to remain broadly within target ranges. However, multiple factors have narrowed the space for policy cuts in the region. Join our expert Economists as we explore these factors and how you can navigate these upcoming scenarios.

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Webinar
Già finito il sogno di un’eurozona a trazione italiana?

with Nicola Nobile and Paolo Grignani | Online | July 4, 2024

Dopo tre anni di crescita superiore rispetto all’eurozona, e nonostante un avvio di 2024 solido, l’economia italiana sembra destinata a rallentare rispetto ai partner europei, complici un settore manifatturiero che fatica a ripartire e il minor supporto fiscale al settore edile.

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Event
Q2 Virtual Asset Management Roundtable

with Innes McFee, Ryan Sweet, Javier Corominas and Oliver Rakau | In-Person | June 18, 2024

The global economy is in transition. Inflation has fallen from its peaks and the major central banks are approaching the start of the easing cycle, but doubts linger about whether the Fed and the ECB can diverge from their current path and if they do, what the impact on markets will be. At the same time, the pattern of global growth is changing with US exceptionalism returning, while China continues to struggle against mounting structural headwinds. All of these key themes will be discussed in and debated by our global leadership group on our Q2 Macro Outlook Roundtable, happening online on June 18th.

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Webinar
Putting the health of the US consumer under the microscope

with Ryan Sweet and Michael Pearce | Online | June 13, 2024

In this webinar we look at the health of the consumer and how the strength of the labor market, rising asset prices, inflation and interest rates impact those across the income distribution. We will explore the reasons behind the rise in consumer delinquency rates and whether rising use of buy-now-pay later services is a warning sign.

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Webinar
GCC: Growth momentum poised to continue despite extended OPEC+ production cuts

with Scott Livermore | Online | June 11, 2024

Ongoing reform efforts have elevated non-energy sectors as the main drivers of GCC economic expansion. Our projections show an improving growth trajectory in H2 and next year, while inflation remains low. We are not too concerned about the drag on activity from oil output cuts, but they weigh on public finances, necessitating greater realism on spending plans, especially in Saudi Arabia.

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Webinar
Economics of a second Trump presidency

with Ryan Sweet and Bernard Yaros | Online | April 29, 2024

Continuing our series of analyses on the 2024 election, we modeled the macroeconomic impact of a second Donald Trump presidency. If the former president wins on Election Day, he will most likely return to the White House with Republican majorities in the House of Representatives and Senate. Assuming full Republican control of government after the 2024 election, we constructed two scenarios that bookend a range of outcomes for the US economy. This webinar will discuss the results of the Trump scenarios, including for inflation, GDP, monetary policy, trade and immigration.

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Event
Global Economic Outlook Conference: Frankfurt and Munich

In-Person | April 25, 2024

There now is a broad consensus that in 2024 the world economy will have a soft economic landing and that easing inflation will allow central banks to cut rates soon. Here we explore some of the key themes and risks around the global economic growth and inflation outlook for this year and beyond, along with the broader implications for the Nordic economies.

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