Central and Eastern Europe: More uneven than ever?

A wide gap in economic performance has opened in the usually homogenous CEE region. Poland, Romania and, to a lesser extent, Slovakia have been consistently outperforming their Czech and Hungarian peers. We expect this divergence to narrow only partially in the near term. The gap in growth permeates into other economic areas too – the outperformers have to contend with more persistent, demand-driven inflation, halting the plans to loosen historically tight monetary policy. Many of the CEE governments have also been unusually fiscally active. We’ll be exploring the diverging macro outlook for the CEE region and some strategy implications in this EM webinar.

Mateusz Urban

Senior Economist

+49 (698) 088 3017

Mateusz Urban

Senior Economist

Frankfurt, Germany

Mateusz Urban is a Senior Economist within the macro forecasting division of Oxford Economics. He is providing coverage of Poland and Hungary, alongside a host of smaller economies. Beyond that, he is producing thematic research on the ECB and the eurozone. He is based in Frankfurt and Warsaw.

Previously, he was working in the Scenarios, Stress Testing and Financial Modelling team in London. Before joining Oxford Economics, he interned at Deloitte, working in the economic analysis team, and at Oxera, a consultancy, where he focused on economic modelling and forecasting. Mateusz holds a MA in Political Economy degree from Duke University and a first-class BSc in Economics degree from the University of Nottingham.

Tomas Dvorak

Senior Economist

+44 (0) 203 910 8150

Tomas Dvorak

Senior Economist

London, United Kingdom

Tomas is a Senior Economist in the Macro and Investor Services’ eurozone team. He oversees the coverage of Central and Eastern Europe in addition to producing thematic research on the eurozone and developing modern, data-driven approaches to economic forecasting, including the use of alternative and high-frequency data.

Tomas holds an MA in economics from the University of Glasgow and an MSc in economics from the University College London. He previously worked as a data scientist at KPMG and as an advisor in the European Parliament.

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