TradePrism Outlook: What’s next for global trade?

The global economy has weathered the initial tariff storm better than many feared. But the full impact is yet to be felt. As existing tariffs linger, new sector-specific duties take effect, and US-China tensions re-emerge, global trade is set to contract next year.

Join Oxford Economics’ Head of Global Trade, Harry Murphy Cruise, and Lead Economist, Ben Udy, as they unpack recent developments and the outlook for global trade.

The webinar will cover:

• How the global economy has fared so far
• The outlook for trade policy and tariffs
• The fragmentation of supply chains and rise of regional production hubs
• The sectors and industries most exposed to new and existing tariffs
• Regional trade outlooks and risks ahead

The analysis and insights presented in the webinar will be underpinned by Oxford Economics’ TradePrism service – the most comprehensive trade forecast model on the market. Forecasting 97% of global bilateral trade flows across up to 1,200 individual goods, TradePrism provides the analytical depth and rigour needed to understand how tariffs, policy changes, and shifting supply chains are reshaping global commerce.

This webinar is being held on our new platform, ON24. If you do not receive your confirmation email, please check your junk and spam folders.

Speakers

Ben Udy

Ben is a lead economist at Oxford Economics Australia working on the Australian Macroeconomic Service, and TradePrism. Prior to joining Oxford Economics ben has worked as a macroeconomic consultant in the private sector in Singapore and Australia and for the Treasury in New Zealand.

Lead Economist, OE Australia

Harry Murphy Cruise

Harry Murphy Cruise is the Head of Economic Research and Global Trade at Oxford Economics Australia. He leads the Australian Macroeconomic Service and global trade initiatives, including TradePrism. Harry frequently provides insights to major media outlets, including CNBC, BBC, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal. His research primarily focuses on global trade and investment flows, with particular interest in the challenges and opportunities of economic decoupling.

Harry holds a master’s degree in international and development economics from the Australian National University and a bachelor’s degree in arts and commerce from Monash University. He is a PhD candidate at ANU, exploring the role of China’s diverse households and firms in the country’s economic transition.

Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Harry was the Head of China and Australia Economics at Moody’s Analytics. He was previously responsible for Australian state and territory analysis at Deloitte Access Economics.

Head of Economic Research and Global Trade