Research Briefing
CPI inflation is set to rise well above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target this spring and will likely surpass...
Are we now stuck in a high inflation world? Temporarily high inflation has lasted for longer than anyone predicted and inflation is set to rise further from here. Might we have actually entered into a new, higher, regime for inflation? Find out more about our GDP inflation forecast.
Research Briefing
CPI inflation is set to rise well above the Bank of Canada’s 2% target this spring and will likely surpass...
Research Briefing
With the government confirming that non-essential retailers and outdoor hospitality will reopen in England on Monday, our forecast of a...
Research Briefing
The coronavirus resurgence in India is raising concerns that the recovery could be derailed. With state governments reluctant to reintroduce...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker rose 1.3ppts to 88.1 in the week ended March 26 on gains across most of the...
Research Briefing
Despite the early-2021 rally reducing the previously glaring undervaluation of Sri Lankan bonds, they remain below fair value based on...
Research Briefing
Emerging market currencies tend to move with the economic cycle. Consequently, after losing ground in 2020, they have recently shown...
Research Briefing
Q4’s national accounts revealed GDP falling not quite as far short of pre-Covid levels as previously believed. And a reversion...
Research Briefing
The unexpected resilience of house prices last year sets 2021 up to be another year of rising values. But unsupportive...
Research Briefing
The total Cairenes consumer spending is estimated at $79.2bn in 2020, with Cairo also being one of the few cities...
Research Briefing
Urbanisation and pockets of increased socio-economic development have resulted in African cities becoming hotspots from a consumer spending perspective. This...
Research Briefing
An array of metrics points to improved global prospects, based on our latestreview of alternative gauges of economic risk. All...
Over the past thirty years Richard Nixon’s famous comment “we are all Keynesians now” could hardly have rung more hollow....
According to our new overlapping generations model, the Eurozone is stuck in secular stagnation leaving the ECB unable to hit...
Consulting Report
Joe Biden will become the 46th president of the United States. But, with Republicans likely to retain control of the...
Oxford Economics is proud to announce that it has been ranked top in FocusEconomics' Best Economic Forecaster Awards more than...
Modern economic history since the 1970s is littered with episodes of oil shocks, with surging crude prices triggering global recessions....
As winter turns to spring, around the world investors are anxiously watching the present spasm in global equities and bonds...
Companies’ spirits boosted by buoyant world trade and US fiscal stimulus measures as fears over North Korea tensions and China...
It is plausible that recent low volatility is the new and persistent norm, with economic surprises muted and downside risks...
Lost amid Europe’s political drama and recurrent euro doomsday scenarios is the fact that the Eurozone economy has a business...