Research Briefing | Apr 21, 2021

Sweden | Country Economic Forecast April

Why big fiscal deficits and low inflation can coexi (35)

Sweden’s economy looks increasingly resilient to the latest round of activity 
restrictions. Despite stricter lockdown measures and a slow vaccine roll-out, 
Swedish consumers are starting to spend and businesses are ramping up
production. We now expect GDP to have risen in Q1, rather than contracting,
before a sharp acceleration in activity over the summer as vaccines become
widespread.

What you will learn:

  • Real household spending was up 2%, and we now see consumption rising.
  • Despite signs of firming demand, the jobs recovery is advancing more slowly.
  • Low inflation is set to boost real spending power.

Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Food prices to bottom out in 2024, risks skewed to upside

Our baseline forecast is for world food commodity prices to register an annual decline this year, in aggregate, reducing pressure on food retail prices further downstream. However, we believe the risks to this forecast are overwhelmingly skewed to the upside.

Find Out More

Post

Battery raw material prices to recover

Battery raw materials prices bottomed out last quarter and we think a sustained recovery is looming. Midstream EV battery manufacturing activity has picked up again and inventories have returned to historical levels, suggesting upstream demand for raw materials will also bounce back.

Find Out More