Research Briefing | Apr 27, 2021

Global Industry | Spiking producer prices will subside before long

Research Briefing Global Industry | Spiking producer prices will subside before long

Rising raw materials prices, supply-chain disruptions, and surging shipping costs are raising expenses for producers, boosting near-term global inflationary pressures. We believe this burst of producer price inflation will prove temporary.

What you will learn from this report:

  • We see stresses beginning to ease in H2 2021 as supply-side problems gradually resolve and easing lockdown restrictions reduce price pressure on in-demand sectors such as e-commerce and postal services.
  • The pandemic’s legacy could increase wage pressures due to reduced
    migration, reshoring, and lower labour participation. However, other constraints on wages could strengthen, such as increased automation and elevated unemployment.
  • We project global producer price inflation will experience a spike this
    year, especially in emerging markets and the US. But it won’t persist.

Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Eurozone: Little sign of harm from the Red Sea disruptions

The impact of Red Sea shipping disruption on the eurozone economy continues to be limited, in line with our baseline view. Our new Eurozone Supply Stress Indicator suggests that supply pressures have returned to normal following a period of easing in 2023.

Find Out More

Post

GCC: Key themes shaping city economies in the near term

For Gulf cities, the near-term outlook will be tied not only to the global macroeconomic backdrop, but also the progress of the diverse visions and strategies in the region. With the aim to diversify their economies and reduce the dependence on oil, Gulf states continue to invest in the non-oil economy and implement various reforms. That said, oil revenues remain key to funding diversification efforts.

Find Out More