UK | The economy takes a small step to recovery
Although February saw GDP make only a modest advance in exiting a Covidshaped hole, the month’s 0.4% m/m rise in output should herald the start of an increasingly rapid rebound in activity.
Notably, the reopening of non-essential retail and outdoor hospitality on April 12 is set to deliver a much stronger rise in GDP this month. Meanwhile, we learnt that the MPC will soon lose Andrew Haldane, its most bullish member.
What you will learn from this report:
- February saw activity begin to make up the loss caused by lockdown.
- The effect of April 12’s partial reopening was evident in some high-frequency data.
- Online job vacancies have returned to pre-pandemic levels.
Tags:
Related Services
Post
High debt costs suggest European office price correction
Our analysis suggests a 10% correction is needed on average for the major office markets in Europe to compensate for the higher cost of debt, with prime yields required to soften by 10bps-75bps to generate a low-risk interest coverage ratio at a reasonable LTV.
Find Out More
Post
Why an ageing population doesn’t mean soaring inflation
What’s the future for inflation? Joachim Nagel, the new president of Germany's central bank, believes the rapidly ageing global population will play a key role – ramping up pressure on prices in the medium term. While we agree slowing labour supply will stifle output growth, in his recent discussion Nagel failed to fully consider the demand side of the argument.
Find Out More