Research Briefing | Apr 19, 2021

UK | The economy takes a small step to recovery

Why big fiscal deficits and low inflation can coexi (34)

Although February saw GDP make only a modest advance in exiting a Covidshaped hole, the month’s 0.4% m/m rise in output should herald the start of an increasingly rapid rebound in activity.
Notably, the reopening of non-essential retail and outdoor hospitality on April 12 is set to deliver a much stronger rise in GDP this month. Meanwhile, we learnt that the MPC will soon lose Andrew Haldane, its most bullish member.

What you will learn from this report:

  • February saw activity begin to make up the loss caused by lockdown.
  • The effect of April 12’s partial reopening was evident in some high-frequency data.
  • Online job vacancies have returned to pre-pandemic levels.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

After the presidential debate, the US election remains a toss-up

Though Vice President Kamala Harris' chances of winning the election have improved since her debate with former President Donald Trump, we aren't changing our subjective odds for the outcome of the 2024 presidential contest.

Find Out More

Post

Introducing our US immigration tracker

We created a real-time tracker of unauthorized migrants to the US, the driving force behind the nation's post-pandemic immigration surge. New undocumented migrants in the US will total 2.3mn this year, nearly 1mn lower than in 2023.

Find Out More