We project Japan's services trade balance will remain in deficit over the coming years as a trend increase in the...
Post-Pandemic
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Research Briefing
Chinese outbound travel is well on the path to recovery. Domestic travel recovered to pre-pandemic levels in 2023 and we...
Research Briefing
Chinese outbound travel finally restarted in 2023. This re-opening was keenly anticipated by global destinations, given the significance of China...
Research Briefing
Growth in the main economic indicators (GDP, employment, and consumer spending) is likely to be weaker in 2024 than in...
Research Briefing
The US has come out of the pandemic in better shape than China with GDP above pre-pandemic forecasts, whereas China...
A plunge in consumer spending in 2022-23 has been a key factor behind the poor performance of the Czech economy....
Research Briefing
We project the distribution of long-term economic pain inflicted by Covid will be similar to humans in the sense that those with pre-existing conditions will end up suffering the most.
Recent revenue performance of the tech sector tells a consistent story of industry’s leaders and laggards and confirms Oxford Economics’...
Research Briefing
Thailand economy will likely see a rebound over the remainder of the year, but over the medium term we think...
Research Briefing
We expect Latin America's six largest countries' combined GDP to expand 0.8% next year, down from our 1.8% forecast for...
Research Briefing
Net migration trends are poised to reverse course over the next five years compared to 2020 and 2021 as employees...
Research Briefing
Monetary policy is at a critical juncture. After decades of low and stable inflation, the seismic supply adverse shocks and...
As China finally becomes the last major economy to dismantle its Zero Covid restrictions and fully opens its borders, governments...
Research Briefing
Cities with the most favourable demographics and with strength in the consumer- and office-based sectors are set to power China's...
Research Briefing
Employment growth is likely to slow across Asia Pacific cities in 2023, due to faltering effects of post Covid-19 recoveries...
Research Briefing
We expect global inflation to return to pre-crisis levels faster than it took to reach its peak. While any number...
Research Briefing
A cautious 2023 budget amid the need to stabilize government finances post pandemic means that fiscal policy won't be able...
Research Briefing
We now incorporate a faster recovery from the post-Covid exit wave and raise our 2023 full-year GDP growth forecast to...
Research Briefing
Since the pandemic, our view of the medium-term outlook has shifted to become more pessimistic on inflation and equity market...
Research Briefing
Seattle faces a number of challenges including the threat of tech layoffs, but its aerospace sector is finally recovering.