Research Briefing | Mar 31, 2023

Asia Pacific city employment growth slows in 2023, except in China

Employment growth is likely to slow across Asia Pacific cities in 2023, due to faltering effects of post Covid-19 recoveries and worse global macroeconomic conditions compared to 2022. The exception is Chinese cities. These will benefit from the country’s post Covid-19 reopening in 2023 and we expect their employment to grow robustly, spearheaded by the consumer services sector.

What you will learn:

  • We forecast employment to grow at a healthy pace in most major Chinese cities compared to China as a whole in 2023. We think that in central and southern coastal cities, employment will grow the fastest, thanks to a rebound in consumer services jobs following the removal of Covid-19 related restrictions. Beijing’s employment growth is forecast to be a bit weaker since it has less scope for recovery, and weaker demographics.
  • In general, we forecast employment growth will be slower if not negative in major advanced APAC cities in 2023. Weak global macroeconomic conditions and unfavourable demographics will put negative pressure on employment growth. In these conditions, we see total employment declining in Seoul and Taipei. In Australia, Sydney will likely have a weak year in terms of employment, while Melbourne should outperform Australia as whole.
  • Conversely, we expect that major Indian cities will be among the fastest growing APAC cities in terms of employment in 2023. Consumer services should drive total employment across all cities, but we also predict some sectoral variation reflecting regional specialisations.
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Beijing financial district


China Cities and Regional Forecasts

Quarterly updated data and forecasts for 286 cities and 30 provinces across China.

Find Out More
Man holding Asia map


Asian Cities and Regional Forecasts

Key economic, demographic, and income and spending projections to 2035 for more than 400 locations across Asia-Pacific.

Find Out More
Global cities service


Global Cities Service

Make decisions about market and investment strategies with historical data and forecasts for 900 of the world’s most important cities.

Find Out More