Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Oct 17 2019
Hong Kong, China: How much lift can Lam’s new policy measures give?
This year’s Policy Address included some fiscal stimulus and laid out plans to address fundamental problems affecting Hong Kong’s population – particularly on land and housing. We expect the economy t...
- Oct 16 2019
United States: Housing can hang on as the economy slows
The interest rate-sensitive housing market is perking up just as the broader economy is becoming more vulnerable to policy uncertainty and weaker global growth. While the housing market won’t offset t...
- Oct 16 2019
United States: IMF forecast is built like a Jenga puzzle
The latest IMF global economic forecast displays a curious case of hopeful optimism with global activity expected to rebound in 2020 on stronger emerging markets growth despite slower growth in the US...
- Oct 16 2019
United States: Fed starts large bill purchases
The New York Federal Reserve’s Open Market Desk purchased $7.501 billion in Treasury bills this morning in the first operation as part of their plan to restore the level of bank reserves to meet deman...
- Oct 16 2019
EM financial conditions a good slowdown buffer
Emerging market financial conditions continued to improve in September. For most EMs, policy support, combined with falling risk perception and interest-rate spreads and favourable asset prices, provi...
Handling the US Economy: The Economic Impact of the Material Handling Industry
MHI commissioned this report with Oxford Economics to quantify the economic impact that this vital industry has across all industries and regions of the United States. That impact in 2018 amounted to... more
Listed Real Estate in a Multi-Asset Portfolio: A European Perspective
With the European listed real estate market having expanded rapidly in terms of size and diversity in recent years, this study examines the optimal role of this asset class in investment portfolios.
In the media
Thursday's #ECB Council meeting will be the last chaired by Mario #Draghi as he hands over to Christine #Lagarde at the end of the month. We don't expect much else of note after last month’s monetary fireworks that will see the restart of #eurozone QE: bit.ly/2J2ytv3
Establishing the world’s largest free trade area is an investment game changer. So, what are the top #African economies for investment? Get the the 2019 #AfricaRiskRewardIndex from OE and @NKCAfrica with @Control_Risks to find out more: bit.ly/2VUoTQ9 #ARRI2019
The Hays Global #Skills Index 2019/20, produced with OE, analyses the challenges facing organisations in their labour market as they search for the most sought-after talent. Read the full report at: bit.ly/35JAXs4
AR promises to make all the world a stage for immersive experiences. Check out our latest study bit.ly/2J2l0na to see how AR adopters are already capitalizing on AR’s ability to deliver improved business outcomes #AR #RealReality #Augmented #AI
Amid #tradewar, with businesses more reluctant to invest, construction activity in #Asia is at risk of becoming collateral damage. In our latest Asia Construction Service report we map key trends, winners and losers for Asia #construction and #realestate: bit.ly/31s4W4v
In #France 2020 budget plans confirm fiscal policy supports demand following the #giletsjaunes crisis. Tax cuts for households will be 3x larger than planned 1yr ago, before the protests. In contrast, tax cuts for companies are more than halved: bit.ly/2J2RePk
Global growth is ~1ppt down from its Q1 2018 peak. Since the 70s there hv been 7 slowdowns on this scale; 4 morphed into #recession. We find a 30% risk of global recession in the next 12m, but this could change rapidly if there were several more shocks: bit.ly/2oK0kJT