Air Passenger Forecasts

Passenger forecasts for the 4,000 most travelled air routes across the world.

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Air Passenger Forecast service was jointly created by Tourism Economics, an Oxford Economics company, and the International Air Transport Association (IATA) to provide short- and long-term forecasts of air passenger flows and alternative forecast scenarios for strategic decision-making.

Future projections of air passenger traffic

Data covered

Forecasts of air passenger flows for almost 4,000 routes and total flows for 183 countries.


Jointly created and updated by Tourism Economics and the International Air Transport Association.

Forecast period and historical data

20-year forecasts and historical data from 2006. Including new Quarterly frequency of data.

Service includes

Online databank, global trend analysis reports and economist support.

Key service features and clients usage

We help clients to understand how air passenger traffic will evolve in the short- and long-run and how current political and economic trends can affect growth rates.

Data and coverage

Online Databank
Statistical data for nearly 4,000 country and region pairs, historical data from 2006, and 20-year forecasts including both annual and quarterly data frequency. The databank includes air passenger flows, economic and demographic data by country and regional aggregate data.

Advanced analytical functions
Our databank is user-friendly, allowing you to quickly build custom queries and visualise data in tables, dashboards, charts, or maps and export as an image or to Excel.


Global report
Detailed commentary from Tourism Economics and IATA, featuring analysis of the forecast plus the impacts of upside and downside alternative scenarios.

Country reports
Providing supplementary detailed analysis for the top country markets with forecast and historical data tables.

Click here to view a sample report
Use cases

A wide range of clients subscribe to the Air Passenger Forecasts to support various business functions:

  • Network planning and expansion
  • Assess alternative future scenarios for strategy planning
  • Cross-reference and review your expectations
  • Plan and adjust investments in infrastructure
  • Lend expert support to financing requests
  • Inform transaction due diligence or broader consulting work

Air Passenger Forecasts

The Air Passenger Forecast Service is the most comprehensive set of projections on how the airline industry will evolve in the coming years, where more passengers are expected to fly in the next fifteen years than over the past one hundred. 

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“We were drawn to working with Oxford Economics for its solid reputation and the strength of its research, and we’ve been particularly impressed with your ability to present this to governments and the media – it’s the reason we’d look for future opportunities to work together.”

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