Air Passenger Forecast service was jointly created by Tourism Economics, an Oxford Economics company, and the International Air Transport Association (IATA) to provide short- and long-term forecasts of air passenger flows and alternative forecast scenarios for strategic decision-making.
Future projections of air passenger traffic
Forecasts of air passenger flows for almost 4,000 routes and total flows for 183 countries.
Jointly created and updated by Tourism Economics and the International Air Transport Association.
Forecast period and historical data
20-year forecasts and historical data from 2006. Including new Quarterly frequency of data.
Online databank, global trend analysis reports and economist support.
Key service features and clients usage
We help clients to understand how air passenger traffic will evolve in the short- and long-run and how current political and economic trends can affect growth rates.
Data and coverage
Statistical data for nearly 4,000 country and region pairs, historical data from 2006, and 20-year forecasts including both annual and quarterly data frequency. The databank includes air passenger flows, economic and demographic data by country and regional aggregate data.
Advanced analytical functions
Our databank is user-friendly, allowing you to quickly build custom queries and visualise data in tables, dashboards, charts, or maps and export as an image or to Excel.
Detailed commentary from Tourism Economics and IATA, featuring analysis of the forecast plus the impacts of upside and downside alternative scenarios.
Providing supplementary detailed analysis for the top country markets with forecast and historical data tables.
A wide range of clients subscribe to the Air Passenger Forecasts to support various business functions:
- Network planning and expansion
- Assess alternative future scenarios for strategy planning
- Cross-reference and review your expectations
- Plan and adjust investments in infrastructure
- Lend expert support to financing requests
- Inform transaction due diligence or broader consulting work
Air Passenger Forecasts
The Air Passenger Forecast Service is the most comprehensive set of projections on how the airline industry will evolve in the coming years, where more passengers are expected to fly in the next fifteen years than over the past one hundred.
“We were drawn to working with Oxford Economics for its solid reputation and the strength of its research, and we’ve been particularly impressed with your ability to present this to governments and the media – it’s the reason we’d look for future opportunities to work together.”
Resources and events
European Tourism 2021 – Trends & Prospects (Q3/2021)
AirBnB: An Economic Engine in the EU27
Global Travel Highlights and Risks – October 2021
Rebound in tourism aids the economic recovery in Europe
Air travel recovery to resume in 2022 post-Omicron
Will overtourism problems return for cities?
European tourism recovery to continue apace in 2022 – ETC 2021 Q4 trends and prospects
Key trends for global tourism in 2022
Rural travel destinations fare better as consumer preferences shift
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