Research Briefing
We are unconvinced that recent measures mark a turning point in China's housing downturn, just as we were cautious of...
Research Briefing
We are unconvinced that recent measures mark a turning point in China's housing downturn, just as we were cautious of...
Research Briefing
In 2024, the main influence on Asia is likely to be a global slowdown, particularly in China and the US....
Research Briefing
After a year of stagnating activity, the eurozone economy will continue to struggle to gain traction in the near term...
Research Briefing
The dollar will continue to be supported by a high carry and the relative resilience of the US economy. Even...
Research Briefing
We expect a material slowdown in the US economy in the next couple of quarters to give way to a...
Research Briefing
Should Labour win the UK election next year, we doubt it would be able to generate a marked improvement in...
Research Briefing
China's weak economy and the mounting problems of the real estate sector have focused attention once again on the potential...
Research Briefing
We expect fiscal consolidation to generally continue in Asia, except in mainland China and Taiwan. In those economies, we anticipate looser fiscal policy this year and very slow normalisation...
Research Briefing
We still think that the US economy is headed for a slowdown at the turn of the year. Three factors...
Video
Fiscal rules should aim to ensure fiscal sustainability and inter-generational fairness while helping to promote longer term societal goals such...
Consulting Report
This report commissioned by Energy UK investigates what governments around the world have done to attract investment in clean technologies...
Research Briefing
There are four ways Treasury can avoid a near-term default on any of its obligations: Democrats and Republicans reach a...
Research Briefing
Though the impact of a slowing global economy is weighing on Asian economies, we expect fiscal consolidation to continue, which...
Consulting Report
Investment incentives are set to fall in the UK • In April 2023, the Corporation Tax rate is set to...
Research Briefing
Our 2023 growth forecast of 4.5% for China is still 6-tenths below the consensus’ 5.1%, owing to a more cautious...
Research Briefing
A cautious 2023 budget amid the need to stabilize government finances post pandemic means that fiscal policy won't be able...
Research Briefing
After a difficult 2022 for UK households, we expect real income to fall 1.2% in 2023 due to a range...
With Covid-related restrictions now removed, the Chinese economy is due for a bounce. In consensus thinking, much of that uptick...
Research Briefing
We now incorporate a faster recovery from the post-Covid exit wave and raise our 2023 full-year GDP growth forecast to...
Research Briefing
We expect the MPC to raise Bank Rate at December's meeting. But recent UK developments, including calmer financial markets, a...