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Events and Webinars

We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
LatAm outlook: which central banks will be the first to cut rates in 2023?

with Marcos Casarin and Felipe Camargo | Online | September 2, 2022

As inflation reaches its peak, the key question in the region becomes which central bank will be the first to cut rates. Please join our LatAm chief economist Marcos Casarin as he provides an outlook update for the region focusing on the future of monetary policy and the implications for growth and exchange rates.

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Webinar
Asian monetary policy and FX outlook amid aggressive Fed tightening

Online | August 18, 2022

There are several large shocks currently affecting Asian economies: a hawkish Fed; sluggish Chinese growth; and high energy prices. To this add a US dollar that is stronger than it has been in about 20 years. How are Asian economies likely to navigate these turbulent times? Our economists will focus on the likely direction of monetary policy in Asian and the consequent path of key financial variables in the region.

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Webinar
Post-elections brief, mapping the way forward for Kenya

with Louw Nel and Shani Smit | Online | August 18, 2022

In this post-election webinar, we will present our outlook on what the new presidency in Kenya means for the future of the economy and democracy in the country. The past decade under Uhuru Kenyatta’s administration has seen fiscal debt and youth unemployment become increasing points of concern in East Africa’s most advanced economy. How the new leader chooses to deal with these issues will be critical in shaping investor sentiment in Kenya. We will also explore the contentious topics of identity politics, corruption, and the rising cost of living.

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Webinar
Canada Outlook: Soft landing still most likely but recession risks are rising

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | July 20, 2022

Economic growth in Canada is forecast to slow sharply in the latter portion of 2022 and in 2023 – likely to stall speed – as momentum from the reopening of the economy after Omicron fades and compounding threats weigh on growth. We're increasingly concerned that a conjunction of headwinds, led by an overly aggressive Bank of Canada tightening and a highly-indebted household sector, could push the economy into recession. While we still view a soft landing as the most likely outcome for Canada, we reckon the odds of a recession over the next twelve months have risen to about 40%.

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Webinar
US Economic Outlook: Pathway to a softish landing

with Kathy Bostjancic and Nancy Vanden Houten | Online | July 12, 2022

Recession headwinds have increased as the Fed is more aggressively front-loading rate hikes due to very sticky and elevated inflation. Despite the possibility of two consecutive quarters of negative growth, there still remains a pathway, albeit narrowing, toward a softish landing. The easing of labor and product supply constraints and a still sizeable pool of consumer savings should underpin the expansion.

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Podcast
Canada Economic Podcast – May 2022

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | June 24, 2022

Our Canada economists discuss their forecast for a 24% correction in Canadian house prices. Earlier this year, we forecast that Canada's housing market would hit an inflection point by the autumn of 2022 due to a combination of record unaffordability, higher interest rates and new government policies designed to cool demand and boost supply. There are early signs that this breaking point may have already been hit with average home prices in April already down 6% since February.

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Webinar
Global Economic Outlook Webinar: Will high inflation halt the recovery?

with Ben May | Online | June 16, 2022

The global economy has started 2022 on a distinctly soft note and uncertainties over the economic fallout from the Ukraine war, high inflation and activity restrictions continue to cloud the nearer-term outlook. While recession risks have certainly grown over recent months, we continue to remain cautiously optimistic about the economic recovery. In this webinar, we provide an overview of our latest assessment of the global economic outlook.

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Webinar
Fed still has a good chance of navigating a soft landing

with Kathy Bostjancic and Lydia Boussour | Online | June 9, 2022

The Federal Reserve fell behind the inflation curve and now is committed to aggressively front-loading policy tightening, which is helping to send recession odds higher. We will discuss when they are likely to scale back on the tightening and the unique dynamics in this expansion that give the Federal Reserve a fighting chance to achieve a soft landing.

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Webinar
Canada Economic Outlook: New Headwinds Emerge

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | April 27, 2022

The Canadian economy weathered Omicron better than expected, but new headwinds have emerged that will boost inflation and slow growth. The economic impact on Canada of Russia's invasion of Ukraine should be limited due to few direct trade and financial ties. Rather the fallout for Canada will be primarily via higher global energy and food prices, weaker external demand, and supply disruptions. Domestically, we now expect a correction in Canadian house prices will get underway by autumn, triggered by record unaffordability, rising interest rates, and new policies to tax house-flippers and non-resident-owned vacant homes.

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Webinar
UK Outlook: How many times will the MPC hike in 2022?

with Andrew Goodwin | Online | February 10, 2022

Though the impact of Omicron looks set to be small and short-lived, the UK economy faces strong headwinds from high inflation and tighter fiscal and monetary policy. In this webinar we will consider how these headwinds will impact on the growth outlook and assess whether markets are correct in anticipating a very aggressive policy response from the BoE.

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