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Events and Webinars

We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
Global scenarios: Gas rationing and stagflation

with Jamie Thompson and Alex Mackle | Online | September 7, 2022

In recent months the risk that the global economy will slip into recession next year has risen and so has the risk of a protracted period of stagflation. We explore these risks, drawing on key insights from our latest global scenarios. Our focus is the potential fall-out from rationing of natural gas in Europe, as well as the implications of persistently elevated inflation expectations and policy rates.

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Webinar
A perspective on Just Energy Transitions in Africa

with Deon Fourie | Online | September 6, 2022

One of the key expected outcomes from the upcoming COP27 summit is for earnest action to be taken by global climate leaders to close the enormous funding gap that is restraining the ability of African countries to transition to low-carbon economies. A central feature of this transition involves the sustained displacement of fossil fuels by renewable energy and complementary technologies. This transformation process, however, must be carefully managed in such a way that the net social and economic benefits outweigh the costs. In this webinar, we offer a perspective on what the structural changes to more environmentally sustainable energy systems may mean for a number of African countries. We also offer insights into energy transitions within the distinct developmental circumstances and energy structures of these countries, along with highlighting the likely implications for energy investment and the factors to be considered in the climate deliberations at COP27 in Egypt.

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Webinar
LatAm outlook: which central banks will be the first to cut rates in 2023?

with Marcos Casarin and Felipe Camargo | Online | September 2, 2022

As inflation reaches its peak, the key question in the region becomes which central bank will be the first to cut rates. Please join our LatAm chief economist Marcos Casarin as he provides an outlook update for the region focusing on the future of monetary policy and the implications for growth and exchange rates.

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Webinar
Economic headwinds hinder near-term air travel recovery

with Dave Goodger, Tourism Economics and Andrew Matters - Economic Advisor to IATA | Online | September 1, 2022

Rebound in air travel demand has faltered somewhat mid-year as economic headwinds are hindering growth. Higher costs and squeezed incomes are having some initial, but modest, impact, while labour shortages have become a concern. We will explore these issues and our revised outlook with our partners at IATA.

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Webinar
Post-elections brief, mapping the way forward for Kenya

with Louw Nel and Shani Smit | Online | August 18, 2022

In this post-election webinar, we will present our outlook on what the new presidency in Kenya means for the future of the economy and democracy in the country. The past decade under Uhuru Kenyatta’s administration has seen fiscal debt and youth unemployment become increasing points of concern in East Africa’s most advanced economy. How the new leader chooses to deal with these issues will be critical in shaping investor sentiment in Kenya. We will also explore the contentious topics of identity politics, corruption, and the rising cost of living.

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Webinar
Asian monetary policy and FX outlook amid aggressive Fed tightening

Online | August 18, 2022

There are several large shocks currently affecting Asian economies: a hawkish Fed; sluggish Chinese growth; and high energy prices. To this add a US dollar that is stronger than it has been in about 20 years. How are Asian economies likely to navigate these turbulent times? Our economists will focus on the likely direction of monetary policy in Asian and the consequent path of key financial variables in the region.

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Webinar
CEE shows limits of monetary policy in taming inflation

with Tomas Dvorak | Online | August 17, 2022

Similar inflation outcomes in CEE demonstrate the limits of monetary policy in combating the current surge in inflation. Slovakia has had a much looser monetary policy but its inflation rate has been similar to other CEE countries with sovereign central banks that have hiked aggressively since 2021. In this webinar, we will discuss the effectiveness of conventional monetary policy tightening in countering supply-driven, imported inflation, and its wider implications for the EM economies.

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Webinar
US macro, industries, and metro outlook – Challenges mount but recession hasn’t arrived

with Oren Klachkin and Ahmed Abdelmeguid | Online | August 11, 2022

The recovery’s best days are clearly in the rear-view mirror as the economy confronts persistently hot inflation, tighter financial conditions, ongoing supply chain stress, downbeat sentiment and softening spending. US industrial growth has slowed in the face of these challenges and services are not immune from these headwinds. Odds of a recession are rising, but there is still a pathway to a soft landing. Tune in to this webinar to learn where the US economy is headed through the rest of 2022 and into 2023 – with a focus on the path forward for industries.

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Webinar
世界経済の展望：FED大幅利上げとスタグフレーション・リスク

Online | July 28, 2022

ウェビナーでは、6月に米国FEDが景気後退も辞さない覚悟でインフレを抑制する姿勢を示したことを受けての世界経済の展望とリスクをご説明します。Oxford Economics見通しの特徴は、比較的早いインフレ率の戻りと利上げ停止・利下げ展開を展望し、米国のリセッション入りもかろうじて回避することを見込む点です。その成否の鍵を握る長期金利や資産価格の動き、マクロ的なインフレ決定メカニズムの構造変化の有無などについての分析をご紹介します。

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Webinar
Canada Outlook: Soft landing still most likely but recession risks are rising

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | July 20, 2022

Economic growth in Canada is forecast to slow sharply in the latter portion of 2022 and in 2023 – likely to stall speed – as momentum from the reopening of the economy after Omicron fades and compounding threats weigh on growth. We're increasingly concerned that a conjunction of headwinds, led by an overly aggressive Bank of Canada tightening and a highly-indebted household sector, could push the economy into recession. While we still view a soft landing as the most likely outcome for Canada, we reckon the odds of a recession over the next twelve months have risen to about 40%.

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Webinar
Global uncertainties and the outlook for cities in Asia Pacific, Europe and North America

with Richard Holt and Scott McEwan | Online | July 19, 2022

2022 is proving to be yet another highly unpredictable year—but also one with large variations by global region and hence across different cities. Some are seeing strong tourism recoveries while others are struggling to emerge from lockdown. Some face manufacturing supply problems, while others are experiencing tech booms. Inflation is a major issue for many, but not all. In this webinar we will explore and explain the differences, and discuss how quickly, if at all, city economies will return to normal.

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Webinar
Near-term real estate performance and long term risk

with Christopher Babatope and Mark Unsworth | Online | July 15, 2022

In an environment where cyclical risks are rising, structural risks continue to remain important. Rising geopolitical uncertainty, weakening growth prospects and quickening rate hikes have led us to revise our near-term real estate outlook, while the long-term risks stemming from the climate transition are also ever-present. We examine near-term real estate performance and long-term obsolescence risk in this webinar.

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Webinar
US Economic Outlook: Pathway to a softish landing

with Kathy Bostjancic and Nancy Vanden Houten | Online | July 12, 2022

Recession headwinds have increased as the Fed is more aggressively front-loading rate hikes due to very sticky and elevated inflation. Despite the possibility of two consecutive quarters of negative growth, there still remains a pathway, albeit narrowing, toward a softish landing. The easing of labor and product supply constraints and a still sizeable pool of consumer savings should underpin the expansion.

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Webinar
Understanding the climate risks faced by Africa

with Felicity Hannon and Francesca Jones | Online | July 11, 2022

In this webinar, Francesca Jones will present Oxford Economics’ latest climate scenarios. The expanded country coverage offers an enhanced understanding of the climate risks faced by Africa. Our findings show that Africa is responsible for a small proportion of global emissions, yet its economy is highly vulnerable to the negative consequences of climate change. A transition to a low carbon economy could support productivity growth through lower global temperatures and create significant investment opportunities due to the huge solar and geothermal potential in the region.

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Webinar
Some banks and sovereigns are getting too close, elevating risks

with Gabriel Sterne and Evghenia Sleptsova | Online | July 6, 2022

Overall banking sector risks throughout the global economy have fallen back post-Covid. But sovereign risk has gone in the opposite direction and one of our greatest concerns is the prospect of distressed sovereigns dragging down their domestic banking systems. Our risk tools reveal that just a few advanced economies are affected; the greater concern is in EMs. We find several EM banking systems are already in a discomfort zone. We reveal where declines in the value of sovereign assets could erode and in some cases wipe out capital buffers.

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Webinar
Unlocking the potential of Africa’s most valuable resource

with Shani Smit | Online | July 5, 2022

The story of youth unemployment in Africa is often told alongside the tale of fast and steady economic growth on the continent. With more than 200 million people aged between 15 and 24, Africa has the largest population of young people in the world, and current trends indicate a doubling of the numbers by 2045. Therefore, investing in their education, health, and protection will be key to unlocking a demographic dividend in the 21st century. This webinar will look at the different options that governments and other sectors have to unleash this potential.

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Webinar
2021 Australian Census Insights: Lockdowns, Migration, and Household Formation

with Timothy Hibbert and Maree Kilroy | Online | June 30, 2022

The first tranche of data from the Australian 2021 Census is due for release on the 28th of June. Representing the most comprehensive snapshot of the country, the census provides key insights to the economic, social and cultural make-up of Australia. In this webinar we will discuss the topical housing, population, and employment data points, including what they mean for our forecast outlook.

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Podcast
Canada Economic Podcast – May 2022

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | June 24, 2022

Our Canada economists discuss their forecast for a 24% correction in Canadian house prices. Earlier this year, we forecast that Canada's housing market would hit an inflection point by the autumn of 2022 due to a combination of record unaffordability, higher interest rates and new government policies designed to cool demand and boost supply. There are early signs that this breaking point may have already been hit with average home prices in April already down 6% since February.

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Webinar
European travel recovery is underway despite risks – ETC 2022 Q2 trends and prospects

with Dave Goodger, Tourism Economics and Jennifer Iduh, ETC | Online | June 24, 2022

High inflation, including rising travel costs, and staff shortages are the two major risks threatening the ongoing recovery in European travel in 2022. In this session we will provide an overview of current trends and the outlook for European travel recovery this year. Within this, we will share the likely impacts from these headwinds as well as explaining why we believe these effects will be temporary and won’t derail growth, as well as the likelihood of more adverse outcomes.

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