Some banks and sovereigns are getting too close, elevating risks

Overall banking sector risks throughout the global economy have fallen back post-Covid. But sovereign risk has gone in the opposite direction and one of our greatest concerns is the prospect of distressed sovereigns dragging down their domestic banking systems. Our risk tools reveal that just a few advanced economies are affected; the greater concern is in EMs. We find several EM banking systems are already in a discomfort zone. We reveal where declines in the value of sovereign assets could erode and in some cases wipe out capital buffers.

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