Research Briefing
The rise in bond yields reflects fiscal concerns, higher risk premia, shifting investor preferences, and idiosyncratic factors.
Bonds
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 23 results
Research Briefing
The supply-shocks era represented the first time in a generation where inflation significantly eroded the real value of global public...
We think low quality stocks will be the key beneficiaries of our soft-landing view. In this week’s Beyond the Headlines,...
Using alternative and proprietary data, Oxford Economics have developed a unique Multi-Factor Bond Scorecard to help Asset Managers identify more...
Research Briefing
We remain steadfast on our long-standing heavy overweight in New Zealand government bonds within our global DM fixed income allocations.
We remain modestly risk-on as our above-consensus view on US growth this year still favours risk assets over bonds.
Research Briefing
We think US high-yield spreads will trade at or below 400 bps throughout this year. Upward revisions to our US...
Stricken sovereigns are suffering as China and the Western-dominated IMF Board engage in a titanic wrestling match over crisis-resolution architecture....
In our latest Roundtable, “Finding opportunities in a global downturn”, Javier Corominas, Director of Global Macro Strategy, examines why we...
Our analysis shows that inflation, in most countries, will be lower than consensus expects. With EM disinflation clearly on track,...
Central banks may be nearing the end of the rate hiking cycle, but does that mean it is a good...
Research Briefing
We expect the Philippines' 10-year government bond yield to trend down in 2023-2024, after rising continuously since Q3 2020.
Research Briefing
The Bank of Japan enhanced its funds-supplying operations in January, after widening the tolerance band for 10-year JGB yields in...
Research Briefing
Our cross asset framework is based on five proprietary indicators (economic cycle, credit impulse, financial stress, relative valuation, and sentiment)...
Research Briefing
UK government's U-turns on tax cuts, the prospect of further fiscal policy tightening, and calmer financial markets mean the Monetary...
Research Briefing
We expect El Salvador to avoid default in 2023, but unsustainable public debt and dangerously low reserves will trigger restructuring...
Research Briefing
The pieces are almost in place for a high conviction OW on Asian local currency debt, but not quite. Indeed, we maintain a...
Research Briefing
After several days of huge UK financial market volatility, the BoE intervened at the long end of the gilt market...
Research Briefing
After multiple assertions that it would continue servicing its debt, Ukraine's government finally gave in to the inevitable, proposing to...
Research Briefing
Alongside its decision to raise rates by 25bps to 0.5%, the MPC today sent an unmistakeably hawkish message, and we...
