Asset Allocation in a new regime for bond yields
Led by Javier Corominas, Chief Multi-Asset Strategist, the service covers both tactical (6–12m) and strategic (5y+) asset allocation across global assets and sectors, driven by actionable, macro-inspired frameworks and proprietary quantitative models.
Going into year end, with record EPS momentum broadening across Europe and EM, we stay overweight global equities — and within that, overweight the US. Financial conditions are not yet restrictive, and the hurdle rate needed to arrest AI capex sits well above prevailing interest rates. Beyond the US, we ask whether it is time to rotate out of expensive Japanese equities into Europe, where earnings momentum is improving. And, are US 10y yields at 5% durable? In a world of positive stock-bond correlations and waning structural demand, are EM local bonds the better portfolio ballast?
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