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Webinar

Global scenarios – Quantifying the fallout from the Iran war and AI shockwaves

8 September 2026 – 11.00am BST (London)
online

Join us as we examine the key insights from our Q3 2026 Global Scenarios Service. Our focus is on the risks to the global economy from the key shockwaves hitting the global economy.

We explore the potential implications of protracted energy market disruption from war in the Middle East, as well as risks both to the downside and upside from the US AI boom. We’ll also present evidence on how these shocks are affecting business perceptions based on preliminary results from our September Global Risk Survey.

This webinar is being held on our new platform, ON24. If you do not receive your confirmation email, please check your junk and spam folders.

Speakers

Jamie Thompson
Jamie Thompson

Jamie is Head of Macro Scenarios. He leads the production of macro-economic scenarios for the Global Scenario Service and is responsible for identifying and writing about key risks to the global economy.

Jamie joined Oxford Economics from the Bank of England, where he worked for 17 years on a range of monetary and financial stability issues to support both the Monetary Policy Committee and the Financial Policy Committee. Most recently, Editor of the Bank’s Financial Stability Report and Financial Stability Papers series, Jamie has written and edited extensively for the Bank’s flagship publications, including the Inflation Report.

Head of Macro Scenarios
Bridget Payne
Bridget Payne

Bridget is Head of Energy Forecasting. She leads the production of oil, gas, coal, and refined fuel forecasts for our Commodities Service and shapes Oxford Economics’ view on energy markets through analysis of key trends and developments.

Bridget joined Oxford Economics from the energy consultancy Flow&Ebb, where she supported corporate and industrial users with energy hedging, procurement, investment, and strategy. Prior to that, she worked in the Victoria State Government Department of Treasury and Finance, focusing on energy and climate policy.

She holds a Master of Development Economics from Victoria University of Wellington and a Bachelor of Business (Economics) from the University of Technology, Sydney.

Head of Energy Forecasting
Benjamin Trevis
Benjamin Trevis

Benjamin Trevis is a Senior Economist on the Scenarios and Modelling team at Oxford Economics. His work contributes to a variety of consulting projects, analysing both short- and long-term macroeconomic risks. This research explores how factors such as geopolitics, climate change, technology, and demographics shape the global economic outlook, with particular attention to the risks associated with them.

Benjamin joined Oxford Economics’ London office in September 2023. He previously worked at the Centre for Economics and Business Research (Cebr) as an Economist, and holds a Masters degree in Economics from the University of Sheffield.  

Senior Economist - Scenarios and Macro Modelling
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8 September 2026
11:00am BST
( London )