Oxford Economics is a leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis, with the world’s only fully integrated economic model and 250 full-time economists, we help our clients track, analyse, and model country, industry, and urban trends.
- Nov 25 2019
United Kingdom: Brexit deal and demographics drag on long-term outlook
We have revised down our long-term forecast for GDP growth based largely on our expectation that the UK is headed for a much looser relationship with the EU. This will result in damage to trade and lo...
- Nov 25 2019
United States: Why holiday sales will look so cheerful this year
We expect holiday sales to register a 4.8% y/y advance – one percentage point above their average during this expansion. Despite lingering trade uncertainty, the combination of elevated consumer confi...
- Nov 25 2019
Risk-weighting public debt makes some EM a safer bet
Who holds your debt helps determine how risky it is. Our measures of risk-weighted public debt provide comfort for Egypt (where domestic banks dominate) and Brazil and India (where domestic nonbanks a...
- Nov 22 2019
United States: Macro Musings: A brief respite for the good place.
No significant economic news this week gives the Fed more time to decide whether the economy is still in a “good place”. Early reports for October are not encouraging, prompting the forecasting commun...
- Nov 22 2019
United States: Top calls for 2020: Easing into the new decade
The latest economic data and policy developments confirm that the US economy isn’t about to fall off a cliff. As we peek into the next decade, we believe a soft landing is possible with gently easing...
Technology and the Future of Australian jobs: What will be the impact of AI on workers in every sector?
Australia is in the midst of a major economic, social and political transition, driven by global competition and technological transformation. Over the next 10 years, the pace of technological change... more
Global Cities: The outlook for the world’s leading urban economies amid the global slowdown
Cities are the new geography of business planning. In the annual flagship Global Cities report from our Cities and Regions team, we examine the impact of the ongoing global economic slowdown on leadin... more
The Impact of Online Content on Portuguese Tourism
The Portuguese tourism industry has benefitted from a greater embrace of online content, driving engagement with travellers and ultimately creating new jobs.
The Drivers of Housing Affordability
Our report reveals the key drivers of increasing house prices and rents and analyzes the role played by short-term rentals with regard to housing affordability.
In the media
In #Asia, we expect growth to stabilise in 2020 though #China will slow further. 2019's synchronized downturn is likely to to give way to more diverse outcomes with economies that push harder on policy levers outperforming others. Our 2020 Asia outlook: bit.ly/38sAls4
Our 250 economists have updated our monthly forecasts - download a FREE SUMMARY: bit.ly/2E7hQvm. We see a further slowdown into 2020 and world growth of 2.5% this yr and next, the weakest since 2009. But despite heightened recession risks, we think this shd be avoided.
As highlighted by AFP, our new 'Global Cities' study shows the #globaleconomy slowdown biting on growth in #cities worldwide. Of the top 900 cities we find just under two-thirds will see slower growth in 2020-21 than in the past 5 years: yhoo.it/2LE4f2L @heatherscottafp
Customer trust is getting harder to earn (and keep). Find out how leading organizations are leveraging #data, #AI, #blockchain and other technologies to win the battle for trust. Our latest #CsuiteStudy with @IBMIBV: ibm.co/2P6o4lE
Latest developments confirm the #USeconomy isn’t about to fall off a cliff. Looking ahead to 2020, we see a good chance of a soft landing ahead. Our top calls for next year: bit.ly/2PwvbCL
More than a year after agreement on the #USMCA trade accord, the deal looks likely to pass the US Congress and be signed by the President. The importance is not modernising #NAFTA but in preventing breakdown of #trade between the US and key trade partners: bit.ly/349QCiv
Saturday’s prelim #IMF move to grant a $5.5bn loan to #Ukraine was likely political, on the eve of Paris peace talks. Banning return of nationalised bank assets to previous owners will likely mean full approval and a further rally in Ukraine’s USD bonds: bit.ly/2RKCKIG