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- Aug 23 2018
Eurozone: ECB increasingly confident about sustained wage growth
The minutes of the ECB’s July’s meeting confirm that the central bank has become increasingly confident about the inflation outlook as a result of strengthening wage growth. Recent data are likely to ...
- Aug 23 2018
United Kingdom: Slow and steady may win the race
With growth in Q2 of this year meaning that the economy is heading towards a decade without a recession, the current, post-2009, economic expansion has already exceeded the average length of previous ...
- Aug 22 2018
United States: Fed minutes reiterate strong outlook and gradual hikes
Minutes from the July 31 – August 1 FOMC policy meeting show activity and inflation progressed in line with participants’ expectations. Many participants suggested it would “likely soon” be appropriat...
- Aug 22 2018
United States: US Executive Podcast -- August 2018
Gregory Daco, Chief US Economist, and Nancy Vanden Houten, Senior Economist, discuss the US economic outlook with a focus the recent national account revisions, housing activity, Federal Reserve ind...
- Aug 22 2018
United States: Rising labor costs could crimp profit margins
Labor costs are accelerating faster than previously thought, bolstered by the sharp upward revisions to worker wages and salaries released as part of the recent NIPA comprehensive revisions. The revis...
The Fiscal Impact of Immigration on the UK
European migrants living in the UK contribute £2,300 more to public purse each year than the average adult, suggesting a net contribution of £78,000 to the exchequer over their lifespan in the UK.
Data and Digital Platforms | Driving Tourism Growth in Asia Pacific
Destinations and policymakers should embrace digital platforms and data-driven innovation, to drive tourism performance.
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In the media
RT @NKCAfrica: #SouthAfrica Headline CPI surprised to the downside with lower food prices and no sign of secondary price effects the main f…
RT @NKCAfrica: #Kenya review period expires without agreement on new IMF programme. Parliament’s decision to retain caps on interest rates…
The @guardian highlights our analysis of the fortunes of #G20 economies after #Lehman. While some Asia economies were unscathed, it took the US 3 yrs for GDP to return to pre-Lehman levels, the UK 5 years - and Italy has yet to return to the prior peak: bit.ly/2OAnyJP
In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2xx7Mbq
Extreme house price valuations are concentrated in a group of relatively small economies, though valuations also look high - albeit below 2007 levels - in the UK and France: bit.ly/2NTieUP
In this @WEF blog post, Naveen Menon, Cisco's ASEAN president, discusses OE's report with Cisco on how #technology will displace 28m #ASEAN workers' jobs by 2028, but will create new demand for workers, too, with #reskilling the key challenge: bit.ly/2QJktJ9
In full US-China #tradewar, OE modelling shows US and Chinese exports fall ~30% but three-quarters of China's $100bn export drop offset by rising exports to rest of world while RoW #exports to US rise $50bn with gains for Asian exporters: bit.ly/2QItK3S