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United States: Mortgage applications lifted by purchase apps
Mortgage applications increased 0.9% last week. The increase was due entirely to a 3.4% increase in purchase applications; refinancing applications declined.
Eurozone: A mid-winter chill for industrial production
In contrast to the ebullient run of European data we saw through much of last year, today’s mid-winter numbers for IP and employment point to a distinct chill beginning to run through the hard-Europea...
Snowballing protectionism still a small risk for now
We still see a gentle rise in protectionism as the most likely outcome this year, rather than a more malign escalation in trade frictions. Such a development would be unlikely to pose a major threat t...
Sweden: Riksbank inflation battle continues
Consumer price inflation continued to underwhelm Riksbank expectations in February, with an annual growth rate of 1.7% (0.2ppt below their forecast). This marks the second consecutive month that infla...
China: A strong start to 2018
After a strong performance in 2017, overall growth picked up markedly in the first two months of 2018 on stronger investment and exports. Consumption momentum also remained solid.In light of only a m...
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- Feb 26 2018
- Feb 26 2018
The AI Paradox: How robots are making work more human
Over the next decade, a great wave of technological change will wash through the economy, transforming the nature of work and the shape of the labour market. We collaborated with Cisco to study the im... more
Forecasts and analysis for 12 key markets, providing insight into the building and construction industry throughout Asia.
A rigorous and transparent framework to measure the vulnerability of 166 countries to a sovereign crisis or a sovereign distress.
A comprehensive view of national and city economies across Africa
An unbiased and transparent view of the forward-looking distribution for the economy essential to meeting regulatory requirements.
In the media
Our 200 economists have updated our monthly forecasts. Our analysis suggests that the global economy remains set for its best 2-yr run of growth since 2010-11, despite the equity market upset and US protectionist moves. Download our free executive summary: https://t.co/H7praKWgoe https://t.co/ygDkuUIKlw
The rising power of #consumers in #China is set to reverberate through the domestic and world economies, and global #retailing. China's consumer market will be bigger than America's by 2034, we find. Find out more about the #megatrend in our latest blog: https://t.co/VEKxr5BBhC
Looking at different economies’ exposure to fixed- and floating-rate private sector #debt reveals vulnerabilities to rising interest rates. #Hong Kong, #Sweden, #China and #Australia potentially most exposed via floating rates to rising debt service costs: https://t.co/EXWHxRNvul https://t.co/YQ4YgBJ0pH
We think the US budget deficit will rise to ~4.5% of GDP by end-2020, leading the US current account deficit to swell further, too. In the past, such twin deficits contributed to global financial instability. But we see little risk in the current context: https://t.co/m1Yc1MQmYt https://t.co/P0dnKc2OUN
The #InternetofThings - #IoT - demands a new look at security. Firms need strategies to mitigate cyber-risks. OE worked with the IBM Institute for Business Value Benchmarking Program to look at the many issues and how they may be tackled: https://t.co/GTilU8Y2KT