Research Briefing
The Monetary Policy Committee voted to keep Bank Rate at 5.25% at May's meeting, but it also sent a clear...
Inflation
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 686 results
Research Briefing
More frequent adverse supply shocks mean eurozone inflation is likely to be more volatile and possibly higher on average in...
Research Briefing
The Federal Reserve will likely signal next week that its confidence that inflation is on a sustained path to 2%...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast for policy rates is consistent with central bankers continuing to focus almost exclusively on inflation. Their laser-like...
Research Briefing
A return to the sustained 'lowflation' of the 2010s is unlikely, in our view. But we also doubt that the...
Research Briefing
We have recently added CPI estimates for selected major metros in the US to our US Cities and Regions Service....
Research Briefing
The outlook for the global economy has improved since the previous quarter’s Global Scenarios Service report and a soft landing...
Research Briefing
After getting carried away at the turn of the year with the likely extent of Federal Reserve rate cuts in...
Research Briefing
The lower-than-expected increase in nonfarm payroll employment, along with declining job openings and quits, suggest that wage pressures are unlikely...
Research Briefing
Extensive academic research shows the importance of central bank independence in reducing inflation. Those institutions with strong operational independence from...
Research Briefing
A second Trump presidency would directly harm US manufacturing through two channels: repeal of President Biden's Inflation Reduction Act (IRA);...
Research Briefing
Lower house prices and falling mortgage rates will reduce stubbornly high shelter inflation and help return headline CPI inflation to...
Research Briefing
The biggest surprise from the outcome of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting had nothing to do with interest rate...
Research Briefing
Our business cycle indicator shows the economy hit a rough patch at the start of the year but there is...
Research Briefing
As expected, the BoJ maintained its policy rate at 0%-0.1% at Friday's meeting. With more confidence on the ongoing wage-driven...
Research Briefing
Our new forecast assumes a slower euro appreciation against the dollar over the coming years than we previously anticipated. Relative...
Research Briefing
Odds are that there will not be anything from the upcoming meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee that would...
The 2024 federal budget projects a steady diet of wider deficits over the next five years, adding new spending only...
Research Briefing
Equities are under pressure following this month's stronger-than-expected US inflation print. We see scope for some further weakness in the...
Research Briefing
The impact of Red Sea shipping disruption on the eurozone economy continues to be limited, in line with our baseline...
