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The cause of Easter egg inflation of 50% or more this year is largely explained in the latest paper from...
IMF
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Stricken sovereigns are suffering as China and the Western-dominated IMF Board engage in a titanic wrestling match over crisis-resolution architecture....
Research Briefing
Our growth outlook for Latin America is lower than the IMF's forecasts, published today. A key area of difference is...
Research Briefing
More than half of the African countries that we cover grapple with various degrees of debt distress, face unsustainable debt...
Research Briefing
The recent banking sector turmoil could trigger a chain reaction of events that plunges the global economy into recession. However,...
Research Briefing
The IMF's forecast still looks too optimistic over the next 2 years in our view. The impact of bank funding...
Research Briefing
The IMF's calendar-year forecast for global GDP growth in 2023 to slow only marginally amounts to an assessment that the...
Research Briefing
In a tough global environment, we are below consensus on advanced economy growth and anticipate most will fall into recession...
Research Briefing
Egyptian authorities met with IMF staff on the sidelines of the IMF and the World Bank annual meetings held in...
Research Briefing
In our view, the IMF's recent downgrade of its global GDP growth forecast looks too optimistic. The IMF estimates that...
Research Briefing
Further moderate downgrades to the near-term outlook for advanced economies (AEs) have pushed our global GDP forecast perilously close to...
Research Briefing
The question of debt restructuring is becoming a more pressing one: in recent weeks, a number of African sovereigns have...
Research Briefing
Argentina's best shot at keeping its IMF deal afloat, regaining market access, and repaying bondholders is by boosting its forex...
The legacy of the massive fiscal response to the pandemic is ballooning government debt. From 2019 to today, average government...
Research Briefing
The August 12 national elections could mark a key turning point for Zambia’s future. Deteriorating economic conditions have left President...
