In the media | 08 Jun 2023
Nikkei Asia: Pay in Japan is finally rising, but this won’t boost growth much
Norihiro Yamaguchi
Lead Economist
“Rising wages in Japan look set to have a limited impact on inflation and, more importantly, on economic growth in the coming years, contrary to the hopes of Kishida and Abe.” – Norihiro Yamaguchi, Senior Economist, and Makoto Tsuchiya, Assistant Economist at Oxford Economics, share an op-ed for Nikkei Asia to discuss Japan’s higher wages and its impact on inflation and economic growth.
Read the op-ed below:
Pay in Japan is finally rising, but this won’t boost growth much
To download our latest reports for the Japan, please check Resource Hub – Oxford Economics.
Tags:
You may be interested in
Post
Japan’s fiscal policy will remain loose, which increases risks to debt sustainabilit
We've changed our fiscal outlook for Japan in our December forecast round. We now expect the new government to set a primary deficit close to that of 2024, at 2%-3% of GDP for 2025-2027, instead of restoring a balanced budget by taking advantage of strong tax revenue. We assume higher bond yields will force the government to take measures to reduce the deficit from 2028.
Find Out More
Post
Japan’s politics add uncertainty to BoJ policy outlook
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy rate at 0.5% at its October meeting, after a 7-2 majority vote. Two board members again voted for a rate increase. We believe the BoJ will hike in December to 0.75% as incoming data confirm that the economy is performing in line with the bank's forecasts in its quarterly outlook. However, there's a material chance of a delay.
Find Out More
Post
Japan’s December rate hike appears likely, though there is a risk of delay
We've brought forward the timing of the next Bank of Japan (BoJ) 25bps rate hike to December from next year and have added another 25bps hike in mid-2026. This reflects the surprisingly hawkish shift in the BoJ's view since its September policy meeting and upward revisions to our growth and inflation projections, driven by the US economy's resilience.
Find Out More