Forecast real estate performance

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Harness opportunities in real estate investment, development and more

The shifts in market fundamentals, such as changing interest rates, a post-Covid shift in demand and ESG considerations, are reshaping the real estate landscape. Maintaining the status quo is no longer adequate for investors, managers, lenders, and developers seeking to navigate these changes successfully.

At Oxford Economics, we provide independent, forward-looking real estate intelligence to help you thrive in this new era of real estate. Our solutions help you quantify the impacts of economic, geopolitical, financial, demographic, climate and sector trends on the real estate market – so you can harness opportunities on real estate investment, development, management and more.

Questions we can help you answer

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What's the outlook for interest rates in the short and long run?

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What's the outlook for the risk premium?

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How will current economic conditions impact capital allocations?

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Which markets and sectors have the potential to outperform?

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How do you quantify the economic risks and uncertainties underlying investment decisions?

How we help

We provide independent, forward-looking intelligence that helps you quantify the impacts of inflation, interest rates, geopolitics, capital markets, climate change and sectorial trends on real estate investment returns, enabling you to optimise your strategies.

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Global Macro Service

With forecasts up to 2050, our service helps you navigate the influence of interest rates, long term rates, FX, employment growth on real estate performance, as well as compare returns with other assets classes.

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Real Estate Economics Service

Covering 5 property sectors across 32 countries, our service provides you with baseline and scenario forecasts for real estate.

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Climate Services

Our service helps you to assess the impact of climate change on growth and business outlook, helping inform decision-making for now and in the future.

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Why Oxford Economics

Independance

Our operational independence ensures we can provide the best analysis without institutional bias. Our real estate forecasts and data offer transparency into market drivers that are not available elsewhere.

Forecasting expertise

By integrating forecasting expertise with insights into the real estate market, we deliver forward-looking intelligence that enables clients to anticipate real estate performance.

Global perspective, local insights

Our unique combination of a global perspective and in-depth local insights allows us to deliver a comprehensive and nuanced view of the real estate landscape.

Breadth, depth, ease

Our solutions cover everything from forecasts to analysis, spanning Asia to the US, and can be accessed by real estate professionals through email, the research portal and more.

Latest real estate reports

Relative return index signals improving CRE attractiveness

Our latest global relative return index (RRI) signals that risk-adjusted investment opportunities in commercial real estate (CRE) should start to emerge this year before becoming more widespread in 2025. At this point, our baseline expected returns move higher than required returns, pushing the global all-property index above the 50 mark.

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Amid disruption, what can US office learn from retail?

We examined the disruption of generative AI at the US county level. We identified several metros – Atlanta, Denver, New York, San Francisco, and Washington DC – that had at least one county with the highest percent of displaced workers from AI.

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Four themes are shaping US real estate markets

This year is set to be a turning point for commercial property markets in the US. A gradual easing of inflationary pressures alongside a steady, if unspectacular, year for GDP and employment growth should help to ease the market through the final leg of the post-Covid adjustment. But there are four important themes market participants will need to understand to navigate the short and medium term successfully.

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Promising trends signal optimism for the hotel sector

The global travel recovery took great strides in 2023, with some destinations already reporting a full recovery back to pre-pandemic levels. Trends continue to suggest further growth in tourism activity going into this year, signalling optimism for the hospitality sector going forward. But risks stemming from inflation, geopolitical tensions and climate change will persist.

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Our expert team

Innes McFee, Chief Global Economist at Oxford Economics
Innes McFee

Chief Global Economist

Abigail Rosenbaum, Associate Director, Real Estate Economics at Oxford Economics
Abigail Rosenbaum

Associate Director, Real Estate Economics

Mark Unsworth, Associate Director, Real Estate Economics at Oxford Economics
Mark Unsworth

Associate Director, Real Estate Economics

Nick Wilson, Associate Director, Real Estate Economics at Oxford Economics
Nick Wilson

Associate Director, Real Estate Economics

1 out of 5

“The RE Economic Service allows us to link the top-down economic outlook, drivers and risks, with our market-level forecasting and return expectation setting. This allows us to be more strategic about our allocations and how to build & maintain a well-diversified portfolio”.

Adam Brueckner, Vice President, Global Portfolio Management and Investment Risk

2 out of 5

“The RE Economic Service allows us to link the top-down economic outlook, drivers and risks, with our market-level forecasting and return expectation setting. This allows us to be more strategic about our allocations and how to build & maintain a well-diversified portfolio”.

Norbert Herrmann, Head of Business Management and Economic Analysis

3 out of 5

“The top-down approach to portfolio allocation in RE involves allocation and strategy for each asset category. The new RE Economics Service was something obvious because it can support our Research department to build different scenarios to find portfolio diversification strategies”.

Henry-Aurélien Natter, Head of Research

4 out of 5

“Oxford Economics is synonymous with high-quality macroeconomic research. A compelling reason for us to subscribe to the new Real Estate Economic Forecasting Service.”

Andreas Trumpp, Head of Research

5 out of 5

“Oxford Economics’ econometric models has provided a robust forecasting backbone and innovative approach to forecasting the commercial real estate sector.”

Contact us

If you would like to find out more about our real estate capabilities, please fill in the form and let us know a bit more about you and what you’re looking for. A member of the team will be in touch with you as soon as possible.

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