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We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
Asia reacts to US tariffs

with Arup Raha | Online | April 24, 2025

We draw the implications of tariffs for Asian economies, in particular how the movement in financial markets may affect real economic outcomes.

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Webinar
Slow and Constrained – lower ambition, higher risk

with Beatrice Tanjangco, Samuel Holguera and Geoffroy Dolphin | Online | April 23, 2025

The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of six climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the implications of climate change and trade-offs of climate mitigation. This webinar will cover our latest research on NDC ambition, the current NDC implementation gap, and the issue of policy credibility. In line with the fading enthusiasm for climate policy, we will discuss our latest low-ambition transition scenario, ‘Slow and Constrained’.

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Webinar
トランプ関税下の世界経済：経済モデルを用いたシナリオ分析

with Norihiro Yamaguchi | Online | April 23, 2025

今次ウェビナーの前半では、トランプ関税下、最新の世界および日本経済見通しを説明します。当社では、一連の関税の発表を受け、米国の2025年の成長率見通しを従来の2.0％から1.2％へと大幅に下方修正、日本経済についても、今後、2026年前半までゼロ成長を強いられるという見通しに変更しました。内外経済・物価の先行き不透明感が増すなか、日銀は利上げサイクルを一時停止し、次回の利上げは2027年にずれ込むと予想します。 　後半では、各国の関税政策をめぐる不確実性の高さを踏まえ、当社マクロ経済モデルを用いたシナリオ分析を紹介します。実際にモデル上の「関税レバー」を操作し、「相互関税」の復活や、グローバルな関税の応酬激化を想定した場合の世界経済・金融市場・コモディティ市場への影響を、波及経路を確認しながら検討します。

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Webinar
ETC – European tourism trends and prospects: Q1 2025

with Chloe Parkins, Miro Blazevic and Menno Van IJssel | Online | April 23, 2025

As European travel enters a new phase of growth in 2025, Tourism Economics will highlight and examine the latest trends that have emerged so far this year and explore what greater global uncertainty means for travel activity going forward. Additionally, Lighthouse will cover the latest data and trends regarding short-term rentals in Europe, offering a recap of 2024 and providing insightful predictions for the year ahead.

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Webinar
No shelter from the external storm for Central and Eastern Europe

with Tomas Dvorak and Mateusz Urban | Online | April 14, 2025

CEE economies are currently showing solid growth momentum, but it is almost entirely domestically driven. Meanwhile, the external backdrop is becoming ever murkier. US tariffs and trade policy uncertainty are the most immediate concern. But German industrial underperformance, Chinese manufacturing overcapacity and growing competition, and the potential implications of a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire all weigh on the region. In this EM webinar, we will explore how these external forces are shaping the CEE’s economic and strategy outlook.

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Webinar
China: Rethinking Tariff Risks and Macro Implications

with Louise Loo | Online | April 11, 2025

While the direct macro effects of new (and potential) US tariffs could prove manageable for an economy with China's fiscal resources, Beijing's policy toolkit in response to rising tariff risks is also much bigger this time around, creating an additional source of uncertainty to the outlook. We dive into the range of possible retaliatory responses from China to ongoing trade tensions, the delicate balancing act between managing strategic interests and domestic economic headwinds, and their implications for our China forecast both in the short and medium terms.

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Webinar
Aviation’s role in fuelling economic growth and how to future-proof global air transport

with Chloe Parkins, Sami Hamroush, Stephen Rooney and Haldane Dodd | Online | April 10, 2025

Aviation is a key driver of global economic growth, connectivity, and innovation. This webinar, co-hosted by Oxford Economics and the Air Transport Action Group, will explore the findings of the Aviation: Benefits Beyond Borders report, highlighting aviation’s role in economic development, job creation, and global trade, specifically in developing countries and emerging economies. It will provide a platform for an insightful discussion on the challenges of a global industry and how to future-proof air transport for generations to come.

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Webinar
Realigning supply chains in a time of tariff uncertainty

with Alex Mackle, Martina Bozadzhieva and Ricardo Gomez Melgar | Online | April 9, 2025

In this webinar, we'll explore the outlook for how tariff uncertainty may affect corporate decisions about supply chain structures. We'll also review Oxford Economics' updated Market Compass index. The index compares manufacturing attractiveness across markets globally to inform companies pressure-testing their manufacturing location plans.

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Webinar
UK Macroeconomic Outlook

with Andrew Goodwin and Edward Allenby | Online | April 7, 2025

The extent of the H2 2024 slowdown appears to have been exaggerated by residual seasonality in the GDP data, but 2025 still promises to be a challenging year. In this webinar we’ll analyse the UK outlook in light of the Chancellor’s Spring Statement and March’s MPC meeting.

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Webinar
A dampened CRE recovery in 2025

with Abigail Rosenbaum and Riccardo Pizzuti | Online | April 4, 2025

While we anticipate solid economic growth in 2025, ongoing tariff uncertainty continues to pose downside risks. We expect US inflation to rise in the short term, leading the Fed to hold rates steady until December. Elevated long-term bond yields are expected to temper investor sentiment. As a result, the commercial real estate (CRE) pricing recovery will remain subdued this year, though not derailed, before gaining stronger momentum in 2026 and 2027. In this real estate webinar, we utilize our proprietary Relative Return Index (RRI) to identify compelling risk-adjusted investment opportunities across global CRE markets as the pricing recovery unfolds.

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Webinar
Can the economy weather the policy storm?

with Ryan Sweet and Michael Pearce | Online | April 3, 2025

The narrative around US policymaking and its growth impacts this year. Tax and spending changes wouldn't take effect until next year, while immigration restrictions would slowly weigh on the economy, as not all recent immigrants immediately participate in the labour market and past immigrant cohorts would support growth in labour supply this year. However, the biggest wild card in our forecast has always been trade policy but DOGE is an emerging risk. Deregulation is an upside risk to the near-term forecast as it could boost productivity growth and business investment. This webinar will discuss how the policy landscape, the near-term economic outlook and what is ahead for the Federal Reserve.

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Webinar
Global travel growth opportunities amid tariff and trade uncertainty

with Helen McDermott and Chloe Parkins | Online | April 2, 2025

2025 is off to an interesting start for global travel. Two months into his second term, President Trump has begun to implement tariffs on China, Canada, Mexico and the EU and has signalled he may go further on these measures and recent data is beginning to shed light on the potential impacts on travel. In this webinar, we examine who has the most to lose in the global trade war and what opportunities remain across global travel activity.

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Webinar
Assessing Nature Risk and Quantifying Scenarios

with Jake Kuyer, Sarah Nelson and Aniska Bitomsky | Online | March 27, 2025

Nature degradation and biodiversity loss pose material challenges to corporate strategy and risk management. We will discuss how we assess nature-related risks, impacts and dependencies, and explore their implications for companies' business operations including the supply chain. Join us to hear how we model potential changes to the future state of nature in our newly developed scenarios, which offer both qualitative narrative and quantitative analysis, and get an insight into how these changes might feed through to the economy and international supply chains. Our analysis can support robust transition planning and help companies align with TNFD and SBTN.

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Webinar
Tariffe e tensioni geopolitiche, quale impatto per l’Europa?

with Nicola Nobile and Paolo Grignani | Online | March 26, 2025

Mentre il mondo si scontra con un’amministrazione Trump molto interventista, l’economia dell’Eurozona rimane sostanzialmente bloccata, in attesa di sviluppi sul fronte dazi e alle prese con la questione Ucraina e le relative implicazioni a livello di spesa per la Difesa.

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Webinar
Sustainability risk and business resilience: How to turn sustainability into a competitive advantage

with Jake Kuyer and Debra D'Agostino | Online | March 20, 2025

Join Debra and Jake for a discussion on what exactly sustainability risk is, what its implications are for business resilience, and how better understanding this risk may be turned into a competitive advantage. Economics can help provide clarity in a highly uncertain world - we explore how much risk is ‘hidden’ in company’s supply chains, what types of events might disrupt business-as-usual, and how economics can be applied to provide insight to manage this business risk.

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Webinar
Tariffs to shake up Asia-Pacific’s industrial sectors

with Toby Whittington and Makoto Tsuchiya | Online | March 20, 2025

The industrial outlook for the Asia-Pacific region this year will be mired by tariff barriers, trade uncertainties and structural economic shifts. China is at the forefront of the Trump administration’s new tariff policies, but the impacts will be felt across the region. The realignment of trade flows as firms seek to avoid tariffs on China will create opportunities for some regional players, particularly in the high-tech sector where economies such as Taiwan and Korea have well-established high-end production know-how, while emerging economies in South East Asia are increasingly trying to move up the value chain. This webinar will explore these shifting trade relationships and how they will impact short and medium-term industry trends within APAC.

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Webinar
Heightened tensions – Quantifying the impact of higher tariffs, crisis in the Middle East, and other global scenarios

with Jamie Thompson, Ronan Hegarty and Adam Onoszko | Online | March 18, 2025

What would a period of heightened global tensions mean for the global economy? This webinar explores the potential fall-out from trade war and a period of energy market disruption. We also highlight other key risks quantified in our Q1 2025 Global Scenarios Service, including the potential for a market correction, and review the evidence from our very latest Global Risk Survey.

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Webinar
First shots of the tariff wars disrupt the industrial landscape

with Nico Palesch and Sean Metcalfe | Online | March 13, 2025

The return of President Trump to the White House has been accompanied by a flurry of executive actions, statements, and threats that have brought on mild but notable downgrades to our forecasts for global macroeconomic and industrial growth. Underneath the hood however some sectors and some regions are much more exposed in both our baseline forecasts and in more damaging trade scenarios. Join us to hear about what we think is likely to happen in the near and medium term, how it will affect key industrial sectors and how things could deteriorate if trade actions escalate further. We will also cover the state of European industry—why the industrial recession has lasted so long and what factors are holding back recovery.

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