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We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
Outlook for US business spending through recession and recovery

with Mark Killion and Ryan Sweet | Online | June 1, 2023

US companies face headwinds from higher capital costs and looming recession. Which industries will retain or restrain their spending during the economic slowdown and subsequent recovery? How will business spending on technology products and related machinery be impacted?

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Webinar
Pockets of value in frontier markets

with Gabriel Sterne and Sergi Lanau | Online | May 31, 2023

Based on our recently released report, we will talk about value traps and good individual stories in the high-yield space. We will focus on our asset views on Kenya, Pakistan, Egypt and Sri Lanka, discussing how the external outlook and debt sustainability metrics feed into bond prices.

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Webinar
Africa: Consumer spending in a new pricing landscape

with Jee-A van der Linde | Online | May 30, 2023

The cost-of-living crisis has not let up and consumers across the board have seen their spending power diminished, some more than others. African households are arguably the worst off due to relatively low discretionary spending levels. In this webinar, we explore how African economies are faring by looking at consumer spending patterns and how policymakers are navigating sticky price inflation.

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Webinar
Portugal: revisão em alta à boleia do turismo

with Florent Guillarme and Ricardo Amaro | Online | May 24, 2023

A economia Portuguesa surpreendeu pela positiva no início de 2023, com o PIB a crescer 1.6% em cadeia. Este crescimento foi impulsionado pelo excelente desempenho das exportações e deixa o PIB português bem posicionado para crescer no conjunto de 2023 acima de 2% - muito acima da nossa previsão de 0.8% para a zona euro. Ainda assim, a procura interna continuou a dar sinais de abrandamento e a Oxford Economics espera um crescimento bastante mais moderado para o resto do ano.

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Webinar
Implications of heightened costs and global recession on Asia construction

with April Skinner and Nicholas Fearnley | Online | May 24, 2023

2023 is expected to remain challenging for global construction, buffeted by still heightened construction costs and cooling global demand. Despite the near-term challenges, the outlook is strong, with Emerging Asia forecast to buck the trend. Please join us to discuss the outlook for construction activity in Asia, including the key issues and risks facing the sector.

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Webinar
Have rising corporate profits been key to the surge in inflation?

with Ben May and Kiki Sondh | Online | May 18, 2023

In this webinar, we look at the extent to which rising profit margins, so-called “greedflation” explain the pick-up in inflation in the advanced economies over the past couple of years. We also explore whether or not the future path for margins is likely to help central banks return inflation to target swiftly.

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Webinar
EM Strategy Webinar

with Javier Corominas | Online | May 16, 2023

We will discuss investment opportunities in local rates, FX and credit in EM and frontier markets in the context of still high inflation and interest rates, and US recession risk. We will also talk about the trading implications of Turkey's election.

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Webinar
UK Macro – Have we reached the end of the rate hiking cycle?

with Andrew Goodwin and Edward Allenby | Online | May 15, 2023

In February, when Bank Rate was increased to 4%, the MPC sent a clear message that it felt its job was almost done. But since then activity has been firmer than expected and fiscal policy has been loosened, while data on wages and inflation have surprised on the upside, leading markets to expect that Bank Rate will move close to 5% by year-end. In this webinar we will provide an update on the outlook for monetary policy, looking back on the May MPC meeting and presenting some of our recent work on labour market tightness and the outlook for wage growth.

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Webinar
Euro area outlook: shifting from energy risks to financial risks

with Angel Talavera and Tomas Dvorak | Online | May 10, 2023

The euro area defied expectations of a winter downturn, and economic activity has proven remarkably resilient. But the economic outlook is now facing increasing risks from the impact of the sharp tightening in credit conditions. We’ll explore the outlook for the eurozone and have an in-depth look at the ways in which higher interest rates will impact the European economy.

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Webinar
Canada Economic Outlook: Recession to follow fleeting Q1 pick-up

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | May 9, 2023

The resilient Canadian economy has only a temporary reprieve from the downturn we believe will be hard to avoid this year. Economic momentum has rapidly faded following a strong start to the year. We expect a recession will get underway this spring that will last through the remainder of 2023 as the full impact of past interest rate hikes and high prices squeeze households, credit conditions tighten in the aftermath of recent financial turmoil, the housing correction continues and the US enters recession.

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Webinar
Greater China: Exploring the plausible ‘What Ifs’ to our 2023 outlook

with Louise Loo and Lloyd Chan | Online | May 9, 2023

Market forecasts around China’s growth this year vary considerably, reflecting differences in assumptions around policy risk, the outlook for the property sector, and the size and longevity of the reopening consumption boost. We provide our own take on China’s growth, inflation, and currency in 2023, discuss and size various risks to our own forecasts. We will also be presenting our outlook on Hong Kong, following the Q1 GDP data.

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Webinar
Tech spending by US businesses will decline in the second half of 2023 but recover to over $2 trillion by 2025

with Mark Killion and Victoria Tribone | Online | May 4, 2023

New headwinds facing US business spending will cause a decline in their purchase of technology products during second half of 2023, before a modest 3% recovery in 2024 accelerates to 5.6% gain in 2025. Which industries will lead the spending on technology, and what products will be the focus of their purchases? Mark Killion, CFA, Director of US Industries, and Victoria Tribone, Economist in the Oxford Economics Industry Service, will present the latest forecast for US purchases of enterprise technology products, including possible impacts from several alternate scenarios.

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Webinar
The worst is likely over, but growth will be subdued

with Daniel Kral, Rory Fennessy, Lawrence Harper-Scott and Nico Palesch | Online | April 28, 2023

The Nordic economies are particularly exposed to high inflation and rising rates, given the high indebtedness of their private sectors and prevalence of variable rate loans. Activity has so far surprised on the upside in early 2023, but tight financial conditions and depressed real incomes will weigh on growth later this year and into 2024. In this webinar, we will address the main drivers of the near-term outlook, namely the impact of inflation and monetary policy tightening on the real economy and the banking sectors, as well as our view on Nordic industry, commercial real estate and cities performance.

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Webinar
Crises and opportunities in Africa

with Irmgard Erasmus and Maya Senusi | Online | April 27, 2023

We draw global and country-specific implications for the current wave of sovereign crises, stressing implications for debt sustainability and sovereign bonds. We focus on three African economies (Egypt, Kenya and Nigeria).

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Webinar
The outlook for cities as the world addresses climate change

with Anthony Light and Mark Britton | Online | April 26, 2023

The impact of policies to address climate change will have an uneven impact on local economies, due to their unique industrial composition and vulnerability to climate events. In this webinar, we will answer the following questions: how big an impact will policies to tackle climate affect economic growth in cities? Which cities will be most affected, and will there be winners as well as losers? What impact will climate transition policies have on subnational growth disparities?

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Webinar
Cities back in fashion as travel destinations – the return of business and leisure travel

with Dave Goodger, Kieran Ferran and Emma Laverty | Online | April 24, 2023

2023 is set to mark a return to pre-pandemic levels of travel activity worldwide, with the continued renaissance in international activity catching up with the domestic recovery. While many rural destinations remain popular, city travel is once again becoming a popular choice. This will be discussed in this session including the importance of returning business and event travel.

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Webinar
European Travel Trends & Outlook – focus on the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war

with Dave Goodger, Jennifer Iduh and Chloe Parkins | Online | April 20, 2023

It has now been over a year since Russia invaded Ukraine and war continues with no clear or immediate end in sight - impacting on a wide range of economic activities and countries. In this session we will explore the impact of the ongoing conflict, and related policies on travel and especially for European destinations and implications for recovery. Other travel trends and performance will also be discussed.

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Webinar
Global Climate Service: Divergent policies & the cost of uncoordinated action

with David Winter, Sean Metcalfe and Felicity Hannon | Online | April 20, 2023

This quarter our new scenario – Divergent Net Zero – demonstrates the cost of uncoordinated policy action. Divergence in mitigation policy across sectors results in a higher burden on consumers relative to industry. In this webinar we present detailed results at the macro and industry level, leveraging our new Industry Climate Service, which quantifies the impacts of climate scenarios on economic activity and energy consumption at the industry level.

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Webinar
Outlook Eurozona e Italia

with Nicola Nobile and Paolo Grignani | Online | April 18, 2023

Le ultime settimane hanno visto un calo dell’inflazione ma il taglio della produzione di petrolio deliberato dall’OPEC+ indica che la crisi energetica non è stata del tutto superata. Nuovi rischi per l’economia italiana e dell’Eurozona arrivano dal settore finanziario, con sullo sfondo la guerra in Ucraina che sembra lontana da una soluzione. In Italia tiene banco la questione dell’utilizzo dei fondi del PNNR , mentre i dati ad alta frequenza indicano un inizio d’anno migliore delle attese.

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