Global scenarios – Middle East escalation

Date: 12 December 2023

This webinar examines the key insights from our latest Global Scenarios Service. We examine the risks posed by an escalation of the Israel-Hamas war, as well as the potential fall-out from increased China-Taiwan tensions and a period of higher for longer interest rates. We also highlight the latest findings from our regular Global Risk Surveys.

Jamie Thompson

Head of Macro Scenarios

+44 (0) 203 910 8030

Jamie Thompson

Head of Macro Scenarios

London, United Kingdom

Jamie is Head of Macro Scenarios. He leads the production of macro-economic scenarios for the Global Scenario Service and is responsible for identifying and writing about key risks to the global economy.

Jamie joined Oxford Economics from the Bank of England, where he worked for 17 years on a range of monetary and financial stability issues to support both the Monetary Policy Committee and the Financial Policy Committee. Most recently, Editor of the Bank’s Financial Stability Report and Financial Stability Papers series, Jamie has written and edited extensively for the Bank’s flagship publications, including the Inflation Report.

Matt De Reding

Senior Economist

Private: Matt De Reding

Senior Economist


After completing a placement year at Oxford Economics between 2014-15, Matt re-joined in 2016 as a graduate. Matt initially joined the Middle East macro forecasting team, but moved into the modelling team in 2017, where he helps to develop and maintain our Global Economic Model. He completed his MSc in economics with distinction at Southampton University between 2018-19, being awarded the prize for the best performance in examinations in his course, and the Dean’s List award for outstanding performance overall and in his dissertation. He also holds a first class bachelor’s degree in economics from Bournemouth University.

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