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Webinar
Why Global Macroeconomic Climate Scenarios are key to understanding risks across countries, sectors and regions.

with Felicity Hannon, Sean Metcalfe and Daniel Parker | Online | October 29, 2024

comprehensive view of both transition risks (e.g., policy changes, market shifts) and chronic physical risks (e.g., long-term climate effects like rising sea levels or temperature changes). Understanding these risks is essential for informed investment decision-making as global economies adapt to climate challenges. You’ll gain insights on: How transition risks and physical risks affect different countries, sectors and regions. The role of climate policies and carbon pricing in shaping asset performance. Why consistent macroeconomic modelling is critical for assessing impacts. High level comparison to NGFS.

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Webinar
How to measure indirect climate and sustainability risk across your portfolios

with Jake Kuyer and Ilana Gottlieb | Online | October 8, 2024

Climate and sustainability risks are not only material for business operations, but they are also critical factors for investing and portfolio management. Often embedded in complex global supply chains, we’ll explore how a deeper understanding of these hidden risks can help you mitigate potential threats and maximise risk-adjusted returns. Key Topics: • The growing importance of climate and sustainability risks in portfolio management. • How hidden supply chain risks can affect the performance of your portfolio. • A demonstration of our advanced capabilities, designed to analyse and manage climate risks. • Results from a back testing experiment using real market data that highlights how applying our ‘indirect climate risk scores’ can boost portfolio performance.

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Webinar
Extending the Ladder – a Leaders and Laggards Scenario

with Beatrice Tanjangco and Felicity Hannon | Online | July 18, 2024

The Global Climate Service (GCS) quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of six climate scenarios against our Oxford Economics baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the trade-offs and implications of climate mitigation. In this webinar, we will look at our new GCS scenario and examine the role of innovation in the green transition. This quarter, our new scenario “Leaders and Laggards” explores the potential impacts of a less ambitious scenario where countries with the capacity to lead in the transition do so anyway, reaping benefits from innovation and technological advancement. Countries that lack the resources and political support are slower to transition but benefit from spill overs. Even so, less ambition leads to more warming, and the world does not reach net zero.

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Webinar
How to integrate nature-related risks into your business decisions and reporting requirements.

with Carina Manitius, Jake Kuyer and Shilpita Mathews | Online | May 23, 2024

An economics approach is crucial when trying to understand nature-related risks and their implications for business operations. We can help companies understand their nature-related impacts and dependencies, including the supply chains they depend on. We can also facilitate robust transition planning and support you in navigating nature, climate, and sustainability reporting, such as the EU’s ESRS regulations and emerging TNFD and SBTN guidance.

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Webinar
Global Climate Service – Differentiated outcomes

with Beatrice Tanjangco, Felicity Hannon and Charlie Muir | Online | April 22, 2024

The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of six climate scenarios against our Oxford Economics baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the trade-offs and implications of climate mitigation. This quarter, we examine the cross-country and cross-scenario effects in more detail. This helps us better understand how different economic structures and policies can result in differing economic impacts from climate risk. For this webinar, we do a deep dive on select countries such as the US, China, and France.

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Webinar
Global Climate Service: An Equitable Path for Sustainable Development

with Beatrice Tanjangco and Manuela Kiehl | Online | January 19, 2024

Climate-related disasters continue to break records and disproportionately impact developing economies. At COP 28 in November, the issue of how we fund the climate transition was pushed to 2024. In light of this, Oxford Economics’ Global Climate Service updates its bespoke Sustainable Development scenario, in which advanced economies take a lead in climate mitigation and allow developing economies more time to wind down their emissions. They also provide cross-country funding transfers because developing economies don’t have the necessary spending power to invest in green infrastructure and technologies. This pathway provides developing economies with the leeway to pursue their climate agenda without compromising growth or the global transition. In this webinar, we will review what happened in COP28 and the economic implications of a Sustainable Development scenario relative to other climate pathways such as Net Zero.

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Webinar
Global Climate Service – From Bright to Bleak: Taking Stock of Climate Futures

with Beatrice Tanjangco, Toby Whittington and Manuela Kiehl | Online | October 17, 2023

Oxford Economics produces climate scenarios updated quarterly, using our world class models to quantify physical and transitional risks at a macroeconomic and sectoral level. Our models are hybrid structural models with transparent, verifiable channels and clear, detailed reporting on assumptions and methodology. This quarter we have expanded our coverage to highlight the full spectrum of the physical and transition risks associated with climate change. Scenarios at the tail end of distribution such as Energy Disorder focusses on energy security and Climate Catastrophe focuses on what happens if governments fail to meet policy pledges – both mean the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere intensifies and result in more severe physical damages that accelerate over time. These scenarios are critical for risk assessment. At the other end of the spectrum, there are multiple paths to keep temperatures in check, and these can be transformative or disruptive. In this webinar, we will present our findings across a range of net zero scenarios and the more extreme physical risk scenarios. We will also discuss new model developments and updates to our fossil fuel demand forecasting methodology.

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Webinar
Energy Disorder

with David Winter and Manuela Kiehl | Online | July 19, 2023

The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of five climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the trade-offs and implications of climate mitigation. This quarter our new scenario – Energy Disorder – demonstrates the cost of policy action that prioritises energy security over decarbonisation. Weak mitigation across sectors causes high physical climate damages. Protectionism associated with regionalisation and more divisive international relations generates trade frictions that cause further hits to output.

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