Energy Disorder

Date: Wednesday 19 July 2023

Time: Global Sessions (EMEA, APAC and Americas sessions. See exact timings in the note section below)

The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of five climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the trade-offs and implications of climate mitigation. This quarter our new scenario – Energy Disorder – demonstrates the cost of policy action that prioritises energy security over decarbonisation. Weak mitigation across sectors causes high physical climate damages. Protectionism associated with regionalisation and more divisive international relations generates trade frictions that cause further hits to output.

Note: Please note that we will be holding one webinar each for APAC (10am HKT), EMEA (2pm BST), and Americas (11am & 4pm EDT) friendly time zones. Can’t make it to any of the sessions? Feel free to register for any session and we will automatically share the recording with you 3 hours after the webinar has finished.

David Winter

Senior Economist, Scenarios & Macroeconomic Modelling

+44 (0) 1865 952396

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David Winter

Senior Economist, Scenarios & Macroeconomic Modelling

London, United Kingdom

David has worked on consulting projects, regulatory stress tests, bespoke scenario analysis and econometric modelling projects. He specialises in climate change and energy macroeconomics and coordinates the Global Climate Service.

He has previously worked in research at a hedge fund (HFIM), and at UBS’s investment banking division. David holds a MPhil in Economics (Distinction) from the University of Cambridge and a BA (Hons) in Philosophy, Politics and Economics from the University of Oxford.

Manuela Kiehl

Climate Economist, Scenarios & Macroeconomic Modelling

+44 (0) 203 910 8007

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Private: Manuela Kiehl

Climate Economist, Scenarios & Macroeconomic Modelling

London, United Kingdom