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We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
What can AE central banks learn from EMs?

with Ben May and Kiki Sondh | Online | July 18, 2023

Major advanced economy (AE) central banks have been criticised for the extent to which inflation has overshot target. Indeed, sticky core inflation and strong wage growth have prompted the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Bank of Canada to resume tightening after a pause, while the Bank of England has been forced to increase the rate of tightening once again. In this webinar, we explore the extent to which AEs would be in a stronger position had they followed some of their emerging market (EM) counterparts and hiked earlier.

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Webinar
Brighter skies ahead for global air passenger demand

with Stephen Rooney and Paulos Ashebir Lakew | Online | March 21, 2023

While the economic slowdown is weighing on air passenger demand growth in advanced economies, excess savings will continue to allow realisation and prioritisation of some lingering pent-up demand. Domestic passenger volumes are expected to return to pre-pandemic levels this year in a number of markets, including the US. Growth will now be more evident for emerging markets, and notably for China with a clear timeline for re-opening now established and some uptick in outbound travel demand already evident as a result.

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Webinar
Key Themes for Canada in 2023: A year in recession

with Tony Stillo and Michael Davenport | Online | January 26, 2023

Canada has likely just entered a moderate recession that will last for much of 2023. Prevailing household debt and housing imbalances will mix with pandemic and geopolitical forces to make Canada's recession deeper than most advanced economies. We expect GDP will contract by 1.3% in 2023, well-below consensus expectations, with six key themes featuring prominently.

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Webinar
European travel – the rising importance of long-haul travel – ETC Q4 trends and prospects

with Dave Goodger, Jennifer Iduh and Chloe Parkins | Online | January 25, 2023

The strong travel rebound in 2022 is expected to continue into 2023, albeit at a slower pace and with a shift in the importance of source markets. Advanced economy recession will dent recovery, but pent-up demand remains evident for major markets and there remains some continuing normalisation of travel patterns. Growth in transatlantic travel has been a recent area of success for European destinations, while we can now look forward to returning visitors from Asia Pacific with some more clarity.

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Webinar
EMs vulnerable but far from the epicentre of the global storm

with Lucila Bonilla and Maya Senussi | Online | October 21, 2022

Growth in EMs faces intensifying headwinds but to a lesser extent than in advanced economies. Although the medium-term outlook looks weaker compared to last month, we expect pace of growth to slow only slightly in 2023 – backstopped by Asia’s protracted recovery. Several other factors will help mitigate risks: monetary policies having been ahead of the curve, overall resilience in the terms of trade, and a less sharp depreciation against the US dollar compared to other advanced economies.

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Webinar
Global Climate Service: Pathways to a fair transition

with Felicity Hannon, David Winter and Beatrice Tanjangco | Online | October 18, 2022

Climate-related disasters continue to break records and disproportionately impact developing economies. Looking ahead to COP 27 in November, the issues of justice and fairness in the climate transition will be key discussion points. In light of this, Oxford Economics’ Global Climate Service explores a new scenario, Sustainable Development, in which advanced economies and large emitters (e.g., China) take the lead in climate mitigation. The remaining countries wind down their emissions more gradually, while still benefiting from technological spill overs that ensure widespread improvements in energy access, mix, and electrification. These pathways provide developing economies with the leeway to pursue their development agenda without compromising growth or the global transition.

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