Events and Webinars

We run a worldwide programme of insightful conferences, roundtables, webinars and podcasts presented by our economic experts.

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Webinar
European Travel Trends & Prospects Q2 2024

with Chloe Parkins, Menno Van IJssel and Alexander Robinson | Online | June 19, 2024

International travel in Europe has moved above 2019 levels as we go into the second quarter of 2024. This webinar will investigate where this recovery is coming from and what destinations are lagging behind, as well as looking out towards the rest of this year as travel becomes more broad-based across the region. Additionally, STR (part of the CoStar Group) will be presenting the year-to-date developments in the hotel industry across Europe.

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Webinar
Four scenarios for the South African Election

with Louw Nel | Online | May 17, 2024

The ANC, in power since 1994, is set to lose its legislative majority in the May 29 general election, and democratic South Africa will have its first coalition government at national level. Will the liberation movement attain a legislative majority by partnering with small parties? Or will it have to choose between the radical leftists of the EFF and the liberals of the DA? And what does the choice mean for the economy? This webinar sets out the policy implications, macroeconomic consequences, and political-economic risk effects under each of these three scenarios as well as a fourth one, in which the DA’s liberal coalition wins a majority.

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Webinar
Frontier markets outlook: Looking for opportunities after the rally

with Evghenia Sleptsova, Sergi Lanau and Irmgard Erasmus | Online | May 1, 2024

In this webinar we will discuss which frontier markets still offer value in the wake of an extraordinary rally since October, and which have become too expensive, in our opinion. We will also offer further insights into the cases of Argentina, Nigeria, Ukraine and others.

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Webinar
Rebalancing of city tourism demand around the world

with Dave Goodger, Emma Laverty and Kieran Ferran | Online | April 30, 2024

Europe made significant strides towards a complete recovery to pre-pandemic levels in 2023, and it is set to do so in 2024. In this webinar, we will delve into the latest travel trends across the region, exploring the anticipated effects of major sporting events this year. Additionally, MMGY TCI Research will be presenting the latest trends in Europe's destination reputation online through social listening, including some of the most prominent stories that have helped shape it. Additionally, the perceived sustainability of experiences and their value for money will be explored through sentiment data stemming from written reviews.

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Webinar
Field to Mine: Navigating New Horizons in Commodity Markets

with Diego Cacciapuoti, Kiran Ahmed, Toby Whittington and Stephen Hare | Online | April 25, 2024

Significant expansion in our commodities coverage means that we are now a one-stop shop for those seeking commodity price forecasts underpinned by robust economic and sector forecasting models. This webinar provides a forecast overview of the main commodities we forecast in addition to the key commodity prices we have added this round – agricultural commodities and battery metals.

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Webinar
Rising US economy not lifting all boats

with Barbara Denham and Bernard Yaros | Online | April 24, 2024

The US economy is doing well because of the strength of the labour market, past easing in financial market conditions and solid household and non-financial corporate balance sheets. Some of these supports will fade through the remainder of this year and the Federal Reserve could wait too long to begin normalizing monetary policy. The supply side of the economy is key to the outlook. Business formations will likely soften, and immigration will provide less support to labour force growth. Tune in to this webinar to learn more about the economy’s prospects, along with a focus on how metro areas differ in the labour market and immigration as a rising US economy hasn’t lifted all boats evenly.

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Webinar
European Travel Trends & Prospects Q1 2024

with Chloe Parkins, Menno Van IJssel and Diego Maldonado | Online | April 23, 2024

Europe made significant strides towards a complete recovery to pre-pandemic levels in 2023, and it is set to do so in 2024. In this webinar, we will delve into the latest travel trends across the region, exploring the anticipated effects of major sporting events this year. Additionally, MMGY TCI Research will be presenting the latest trends in Europe's destination reputation online through social listening, including some of the most prominent stories that have helped shape it. Additionally, the perceived sustainability of experiences and their value for money will be explored through sentiment data stemming from written reviews.

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Webinar
Global Climate Service – Differentiated outcomes

with Beatrice Tanjangco, Felicity Hannon and Charlie Muir | Online | April 22, 2024

The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of six climate scenarios against our Oxford Economics baseline. These scenarios help businesses understand the trade-offs and implications of climate mitigation. This quarter, we examine the cross-country and cross-scenario effects in more detail. This helps us better understand how different economic structures and policies can result in differing economic impacts from climate risk. For this webinar, we do a deep dive on select countries such as the US, China, and France.

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Webinar
Post-correction real estate opportunities on the horizon?

with Abigail Rosenbaum | Online | April 17, 2024

Solid US GDP growth and lower inflation in 2024 will lead the Fed to begin cutting rates mid-year. Rate cuts should stabilize investor confidence and bring the commercial real estate (CRE) pricing correction to an end this year. Once a recovery is underway in 2025, opportunities will start to emerge. In this real estate webinar, using our Relative Return Index (RRI), we highlight risk-adjusted investment opportunities for Global CRE in 2024 and beyond.

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Webinar
What the pandemic has taught us about inflation

with Ben May and Kiki Sondh | Online | April 16, 2024

When inflation first rose up in 2021, we argued it wasn't the start of a shift to a higher, more volatile inflation regime. Despite the big spike since, we maintain this view. In this webinar we explore some of the inflation lessons from the pandemic and assess the extent to which we have entered a new era for inflation targeting.

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Webinar
Cities in the medium term: we pick the likely winners and losers over the next five years

with Lawrence Harper-Scott, Barbara Denham and Richard Holt | Online | April 11, 2024

Among leading cities in the US, we forecast stable GDP growth in 2024, but decelerating growth over the subsequent four years. In Europe in contrast, the short-term outlook for the largest cities remains subdued, but the medium-term picture looks set to improve. In this webinar we will explain our views, and we will identify the likely winners and losers among cities around the world.

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Webinar
A health-check on China’s real estate and construction industries: Are we still on life support?

with Louise Loo, Nicholas Fearnley and April Skinner | Online | April 2, 2024

China’s property downturn continues to weigh on the outlook. Can we be hopeful that the economy will successfully decouple from its old property-led growth model? How much of an offset can state-led construction provide as authorities look to prop the economy up? Join us in a discussion between Louise Loo our China Macro-economist and April Skinner our China Construction economist, as we address some of the FAQs around China’s housing and construction sectors and take a pulse-check on property’s multi-year correction process. Key talking points: How far does China’s real estate downturn have to go? What are the longer term implications for building construction? How much can state-led infrastructure projects prop up the economy? Will the “New Three" Industries keep the economy afloat? Supply chain risks and what this means for costs and construction.

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Webinar
China’s fiscal policy: shifting from local to central

with Louise Loo and Betty Wang | Online | March 22, 2024

1/ Is the official budget enough to help achieve the implied optimistic GDP growth in 2024? 2/ Does the issuance of special treasury bonds suggest a shift of stimulus focus from local governments to the central government? 3/ What could be the potential sectors receiving fiscal support?

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Webinar
Commodity markets have largely shrugged off the Red Sea attacks, will they do the same with OPEC+ cuts?

with Stephen Hare | Online | March 21, 2024

Commodity markets have been relatively calm in the face of actual and potential threats to supply over the past year. But will this calm remain? With OPEC+ tightening supply further with its latest extension, just as central banks begin cutting rates and Beijing implements stimulus measures, we discuss the implications for the oil market as well as the impact on commodities more generally.

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Webinar
How a global soft landing is (almost) in view

with Ben May and Adam Slater | Online | March 19, 2024

We examine how the global economy has confounded most expectations over the last year with inflation falling back towards target without large output losses. We consider key factors behind this including developments in labour markets, financial stresses, energy prices and fiscal policies. We also look at lingering ‘hard landing’ risks and in which geographies they are most prominent.

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Webinar
Eurozone: On a slow path towards recovery

with Rory Fennessy | Online | March 18, 2024

While the worst may be over for the eurozone economy, the prospect of a quick revival in growth is limited. Activity should pick up stronger in the second half of 2024 as falling inflation supports real incomes and consumer spending, but more restrictive fiscal policy as government priorities shift from providing support to deficit reduction will drag on growth. We expect the ECB to commence with rate cuts in Q2, although growth won’t receive a boost until 2025.

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Webinar
Industry to rebuild momentum in 2024

with Abby Samp and Max Anderson | Online | March 14, 2024

As 2024 progresses global industrial activity should pick up and begin to rebuild some momentum. Pass-through from lower wholesale energy prices, a move past the peak of impacts from past rate hikes and a trough in the de-stocking cycle should benefit manufacturing activity in the advanced economies. In China, manufacturing activity is likely to be highly asymmetric in 2024, with growth concentrated in the energy transition adjacent ‘New Three’ industries, while the ongoing property sector slump will curtail construction and its supply chain.

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Webinar
Global Consumer Outlook: Finding growth in 2024 and beyond

with Alex Mackle and Marcos Casarin | Online | March 6, 2024

Global consumer spending will continue to grow this year, despite the general economic slowdown. But as demand weakens and consumers’ tolerance for higher prices wanes, retailers will have to rely more on volumes expansion to match last year’s sales performance. In this webinar, we dig into the economic outlook to find pockets of growth in consumer spending markets across countries, cities and different categories of spending.

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Webinar
The mitigating circumstances around EM public debt threats

with Evghenia Sleptsova and Gabriel Sterne | Online | March 5, 2024

For larger emerging markets (EMs) the supply shocks era has led to increased public debt-to-GDP ratios. But we find solace in our assessment of recent budgets and in our dissection of debt composition. Various frontier markets, however, remain bogged down in crisis resolution processes the length of which are proving very costly to debtors and creditors alike; but even in the case of frontiers we see encouraging signs that some may regain market access as global monetary conditions ease.

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Webinar
Asia’s medium term growth outlook and its implications for major cities

with Arup Raha and Scott McEwan | Online | February 28, 2024

Over the next five years, economic growth across Asia is likely to diverge especially with two of the giants moving in opposite directions; China slowing and India starting to realise its potential. This has implications for how the cities in these two countries are likely to expand. Major cities in southeast Asia area expected to perform relatively well but there are contrasting fortunes elsewhere. For example, in advanced Asia, the major cities of Australia should exhibit an impressive rate of jobs growth. Our expectations for the likes of Melbourne and Perth contrasts starkly with major East Asian cities in Japan and South Korea, where the pressures of ageing populations is dragging on the potential for growth in output and jobs. We present both a top-down medium-term macro outlook and tie that to how major cities in Asia are likely to develop over the next 5 years.

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