Cities in the medium term: we pick the likely winners and losers over the next five years
Among leading cities in the US, we forecast stable GDP growth in 2024, but decelerating growth over the subsequent four years. In Europe in contrast, the short-term outlook for the largest cities remains subdued, but the medium-term picture looks set to improve. In this webinar we explain our views, and we identify the likely winners and losers among cities around the world.

Lawrence Harper-Scott
Senior Economist
+44 (0) 203 910 8066

Lawrence Harper-Scott
Senior Economist
London, United Kingdom
Lawrence Harper-Scott is a senior economist, he primarily produces forecasts for regions in the Nordics and Central & Eastern Europe. Before joining Oxford Economics Lawrence graduated from Loughborough University with a degree in Economics.

Barbara Byrne Denham
Senior Economist, Cities & Regions
+1 (646) 503 3061

Barbara Byrne Denham
Senior Economist, Cities & Regions
New York, United States
As a senior economist at Oxford Economics, Barbara brings a seasoned approach to the study of US cities. She works in Oxford Economics’ division of Cities and Regions analysis where she leads in writing reports on US metros. Prior to joining Oxford Economics, she worked six years for Moody’s Analytics REIS where she did similar work and wrote a number of white papers covering metro-level analyses including the Impact of the Tax and Jobs Act on Commercial Real Estate; Amazon HQ2, a Scoring Analysis; and the Economics of College Towns. Barbara’s work is frequently cited by the Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Crains New York Business and numerous other publications.
Prior to working at Moody’s, Barbara worked more than 20 years at various commercial real estate firms including Jones Lang LaSalle and Eastern Consolidated where she focused on writing market reports and white papers.
Barbara holds a bachelor’s in business administration from the University of Notre Dame and is a Ph. D. candidate in Economics from New York University.

Richard Holt
Director of Global Cities Research

Richard Holt
Director of Global Cities Research
London, United Kingdom
Richard provides thought leadership on many of our regional and city projects and forecast services, both in the UK and globally. He has particular experience in long-term thinking and strategy, and identifying the drivers of growth. He has worked at Oxford Economics for a decade, having previously occupied senior roles in Birmingham, London and New York. He is a very experienced project director and also presents widely to diverse audiences.
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