Research Briefing
19 Nov 2025

The kids aren’t alright – Economic health of Gen Z

Gen Zers have not had the opportunity to accumulate equity and housing wealth yet.

Unemployment is rising and wage growth is declining for young adults, which could have a long-term scarring impact. Weak labor market prospects and rising housing costs are causing more young adults to live with their parents.

  • The choice to not move out reduces spending on housing, transportation, and food.
  • We estimate that the cumulative impact is a 12bn annual drag on consumption.
  • An outsize wealth effect will continue to prop up spending by high-income consumers, but combined with depressed sentiment, it may prompt younger adults to be more cautious with their dollars.
  • Young workers are more vulnerable to economic downturns, and a weak labor market can have a lasting negative impact on wage growth and earning potential.


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