he Q4 update of our IFRS9 and CECL scenarios services paints a more pessimistic view of the balance of risks...
Economic growth
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Consulting Report
The supply chain disruptions triggered by the coronavirus pandemic, the blockade of the Suez Canal, and Russia's invasion of Ukraine...
Research Briefing
The economy is weakening, but the incoming data are consistent with a slowdown rather than a technical recession.
Consulting Report
Our latest report delves into the transport challenges limiting women’s economic participation in the Sri Lankan economy and explores the...
We forecast that Tokyo Prefecture will remain Asia Pacific's largest city in GDP terms until 2034, before being overtaken by...
Research Briefing
Following a year of subdued global growth in 2023, we think a further softening of economic conditions is likely next...
Consulting Report
Our latest report explores the transport challenges limiting women's economic participation in the Indian economy and the role that ride-hailing...
Consulting Report
Oxford Economics partnered with Airbnb to assess the economic impact of Airbnb in Asia-Pacific. We found that Airbnb contributed US$...
Research Briefing
While we believe interest rate hikes are mostly over, interest-sensitive sectors are being weighed down by the cumulative impact of...
Research Briefing
Indonesia's domestic demand has proved surprisingly resilient to monetary tightening in 2023, prompting multiple upgrades to our growth forecast this...
Research Briefing
The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region will expand less than we initially thought this year, but growth will improve in...
Consulting Report
Oxford Economics undertook an assessment of Kew's total economic value in the financial year 22/23, which found that Kew delivers...
Research Briefing
Global urban consumers have faced numerous difficulties in recent times, and the near-term outlook looks challenging still. Rising interest rates...
Research Briefing
The rapid surge in interest rates will continue to weigh on the Nordic economies next year with little external support,...
A palpably cautious mood has settled over central banks, economists, and corporate leaders. In many countries, the rise in interest...
In our latest monthly forecast, we raised our aggregate 2023 GDP growth forecast for emerging markets (EMs) by 0.1ppt to 4.1%. We raised our 2023 GDP growth forecast for China...
Research Briefing
We are unconvinced that recent measures mark a turning point in China's housing downturn, just as we were cautious of...
The United States and Europe are both set to fall into a shallow industrial recession this year, thanks to a...
Research Briefing
Emerging market (EM) GDP growth will disappoint next year but EM central banks will reap the dividends of credible policies...
Research Briefing
Next year holds promise for the dawning of a new industry in Africa and somewhat of a commercial renaissance taking...