Commercial Real Estate Megatrend Resilience Index 2026
Which cities and property sectors are best positioned to withstand long-term structural change?
From technological advances and demographic shifts to climate risks and geopolitical uncertainty, global megatrends are reshaping the commercial real estate investment landscape.
Our latest Global Megatrend Resilience Index for Commercial Real Estate assesses the relative resilience of 91 cities across 33 countries, covering 97% of the global investible commercial real estate universe.
Key findings
- European cities dominate CRE megatrend resilience. Dublin, Oslo, Zurich, Stockholm, and London lead the way scoring well across the four pillars of technology, demographics, climate, and geopolitics.
- US technology hubs face a resilience trade-off. San Jose, Seattle and San Francisco lead the technology rankings, but weaker climate and geopolitical resilience weigh on their overall positions.
- Asia-Pacific presents a mixed picture. Tokyo is the only Asia-Pacific city in the top ten, followed closely by Singapore in 11th. Australian cities perform well on demographics, but climate risks hold back their overall rankings.
- Industrial is the most resilient property sector. Across the 91 cities, industrial ranks highest, followed by residential, retail and office, while hotels are the least resilient.
Download the report to explore the full rankings and understand how global megatrends could shape the future of commercial real estate.
About the methodology
Oxford Economics’ Global Megatrend Resilience Index is a forward-looking index that tracks key CRE demand drivers across four key megatrends: demographics, technology, geopolitics, and climate.
Drawing on long-range forecasts and data from Oxford Economics services, each of the four pillars comprises six to ten indicators that measure different aspects of resilience. These indicators are combined to produce a score for each pillar, which is then weighted and aggregated into an overall resilience score out of 100.
Scores are calculated for each city at the all-property level and across five property sectors: office, retail, industrial, residential and hotel. This allows investors to compare how well different markets and sectors are positioned to withstand or adapt to long-term structural change.
