Research Briefing
Labour markets are forecast to cool across the world's major cities this year, marking the end of the Covid-19 catchup...
Economic growth
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Displaying 1 to 20 of 1354 results
Research Briefing
The unemployment rate is arguably the most important statistic the Federal Reserve tracks as it assesses the risks to the...
While our short-term outlook for the global economy has largely remained steady over the past quarter, the balance of risks...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is for some form of divided government that will not alter the current trajectory of industrial growth. If either side achieves a...
Research Briefing
Current polling suggests Canadians are poised to vote in a Conservative majority government that would usher in a sea change...
Research Briefing
The risk of higher trade tensions, and its subsequent implications on trade policy, is high. The upcoming US presidential election...
Research Briefing
We expect stronger activity in the eurozone in 2025, but growth will remain lacklustre as the consumer recovery lacks momentum....
Europe’s industrial recession continues to take its toll: the EU's industrial output expected to shrink by 0.7% in 2024, a...
Research Briefing
Lacklustre eurozone growth momentum looks unlikely to meaningfully pick up before the end of the year. Our GDP nowcasting models...
Research Briefing
Recession alarm bells should sound a bit muted with an encouraging employment report, solid gains in retail sales, and a...
Research Briefing
The UK grew at an above-trend pace in H1 2024, but we don't expect this to be sustained over the...
Research Briefing
Four themes have dictated Asia's macroeconomic outlook over the summer and are likely to continue to exert an influence over...
Research Briefing
GDP growth among Latin America's largest six economies will improve on the margin next year and surprise the consensus to...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast assumes generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) will boost eurozone GDP level by 1.4% over the next 15 years,...
Research Briefing
We expect global industrial production to grow by 2.6% this year, up from 1.8% in 2023. Our view remains that...
Research Briefing
Economic policy uncertainty is rising earlier than normal for a presidential election year, and this has implications for the Q4...
Research Briefing
The economy remains in transition and is settling into a more sustainable pace of growth, with next year being decent...
Research Briefing
We believe that recent jitters about US growth prospects are overdone. While US GDP growth will slow a bit, we...
Research Briefing
Our new proprietary business cycle phase indicator points to a trough in sight for industry, but with dispersion among sectors....
Our forecasts do not show any significant deindustrialisation over the next decades in Europe. However, Europe indeed faces substantial challenges...
