Ungated Post | 20 Jul 2017

Trump vs Clinton: Polarization and Uncertainty

The economic impact of the US elections

With the US presidential elections less than two months away, our economists have taken a close look the economic policy put forward by the Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump campaigns and their macroeconomic impact over the coming years.

In this research briefing we describe how four key factors explain diverging economic trajectories under a Trump and Clinton presidency:

Fiscal
Trade
Immigration policy
Confidence/uncertainty.

The analysis was created using our internationally renowned Global Economic Model, which provides a rigorous and consistent structure for forecasting and scenario analysis.

As an independent economic advisory firm, Oxford Economics has no political affiliation.

If you are a Global Marco Service subscriber, click here to access the report.