Research Briefing
The week before the publication of this Political Focus, Gabon underwent tremendous political change: in a coup d'état on August...
Risk assessment
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Research Briefing
The economic impact of mitigation policies to address climate change will vary by state and metro. Understanding these differences, under...
Research Briefing
We think the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) will be contained and is not a sign of systemic risks...
Research Briefing
The global cycle is now rolling over and even if the recession is likely to be mild, the subsequent recovery...
Research Briefing
Our baseline forecast is now for world trade in goods to decline by 0.2% in 2023, a considerable downgrade from...
Research Briefing
The Global Climate Service quantifies the macroeconomic impacts of five climate scenarios against a stated policies baseline. These scenarios help...
Research Briefing
A right-wing coalition government is expected to win in the upcoming Italian elections in September. Although "euroexit" is now very...
Research Briefing
The BoE today announced a 50bp rise in Bank Rate to 1.75%, despite publishing a forecast that suggests the UK...
Oxford Economics launches our Global Risk Service, a suite of data-driven and forward-looking tools that measure macro-economic and financial crises...
Research Briefing
We are concerned about the prospect of distressed sovereigns dragging down their domestic banking systems. We identify an extraordinarily high...
Research Briefing
Deglobalisation is unlikely to be a "big bang" but more a creeping tide of targeted measures by individual countries, in...
Research Briefing
From a climate change perspective, 2021 was another remarkable year. While not the warmest year on record, a host of...
Research Briefing
Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the US and EU announced harsh new sanctions, including banning some Russian banks from SWIFT...
Research Briefing
Back to Resource Hub Research Briefing | Jan 27, 2022 Russia-Ukraine tensions: Asset market scenarios Despite tensions continuing to ratchet...
With eurozone inflation confirmed at a record-high of 5.0% y/y in December, the debate over how long upward price pressures...
The release of the ECB December meeting minutes confirmed that inflation remained at the forefront of the Governing Council’s discussions...
Research Briefing
Ukraine’s sovereign Eurobond yields soared since mid-November when US sources first reported a build-up of Russian troops along its eastern...
Research Briefing
A less positive economic outlook and rising downside risks are threatening the global real estate recovery. Our baseline forecast is...
Research Briefing
The recent escalation of the conflict between Poland and the European Union has significantly increased the odds of a decisive...
Research Briefing
Inflation in advanced economies is set to rise this year to the highest rate in a decade. This has sparked...
