News | 05 Jul 2022
Oxford Economics Launches Global Risk Service
Oxford Economics launches the Global Risk Service, a suite of data-driven and forward-looking tools that measure macro-economic and financial crises risks in 166 countries.
The Global Risk Service provides a transparent and rigorous framework to identify, quantify and compare emerging sovereign, FX and banking sector risks, based on historical data since 2000 and algorithm-based methodology.
“Financial crises can strike any type of economy and have often reflected a complex mixture of drivers,” said Innes McFee, Chief Global Economist at Oxford Economics. “Our Global Risk Service helps market participants capture early warning of these systematic crises. Our FX Risk Tool, for example, shows outperformance compared to market implied depreciation.”
“Besides historical data and one year-ahead forecasts, our Global Risk Service comes with Research Briefings, webinars and economist support. Users will be able to access comprehensive data and insights about the risks to which they are exposed, and move with confidence when looking to avoid, manage or profit from risks,” said Gabriel Sterne, Head of Strategy Service and Global Emerging Market Research at Oxford Economics.
What does the Global Risk Service include?
- Comprehensive risk databank: Monthly updated sovereign, FX and banking sector risk rankings and scores for 166 countries, as well as the ability to adjust the weightings behind the indicators that contribute to the score.
- Research Briefings and monthly chartbook. Insights from the risk tools on the key macroeconomic risks and market movements.
- Economist support. Full support to clients to answer questions about our ratings and data.
Resources
| Research Briefing | Webinar | ||||||
| In our latest research briefing, ‘Where bank-sovereign embraces can be poisonous’, we explore the possibility of sovereign distress dragging down banks throughout the global economy. | In our webinar ‘Some banks and sovereigns are getting too close, elevating risks’, we reveal which economies are most vulnerable to a dual sovereign-banking crisis, and why. |
Meet the team
Gabriel Sterne
Head of Strategy Service & Global EM Research
Private: Gabriel Sterne
Head of Strategy Service & Global EM Research
London, United Kingdom
Evghenia Sleptsova
Senior EM Economist
+44 (0) 203 910 8022
Evghenia Sleptsova
Senior EM Economist
London, United Kingdom
Evghenia is part of the Global Emerging Markets Research team, where she manages the workflow on our global risk frameworks – Sovereign, currency and banking sector risk tools, and covers Ukraine as a macroeconomist. Evghenia has over 15 years of research and consulting experience in macroeconomics, country and sovereign risk analysis and international trade. In her earlier career, she covered Russia, CIS and CEE, as well as global risk products. Evghenia worked at Roubini Global Economics, London, at KPMG and European Commission Delegation (Moldova), and Institute for Economic Research and Policy Consulting (Ukraine).
Rory Fennessy
Economist
+44 (0) 20 3910 8060
Rory Fennessy
Economist
London, United Kingdom
Rory is an Economist in the European Macro Forecasting team, where he publishes research and analysis on the eurozone and Nordic economies. He is responsible for our forecast coverage for Norway, Denmark, Croatia and Albania. He also helps in presenting our Global Risk Service to clients and prospects.
Rory joined Oxford Economics in September 2020 after graduating from the University of Exeter with a first-class BSc in Economics. While at university, he completed an industrial placement year at Oxford Economics in our Latin American Macro Forecasting team. His undergraduate dissertation focused on the drivers of currency crises in emerging markets with floating exchange rates.
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