Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker slipped to 97.5 in the week ended October 1, down 0.6pts from its post-pandemic high in...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker slipped to 97.5 in the week ended October 1, down 0.6pts from its post-pandemic high in...
Research Briefing
US GDP topped its peak pre-pandemic level in Q2, but the pace of the economic recovery was largely unchanged as...
Research Briefing
Our Recovery Tracker suffered a setback at September’s end, falling 1.1pts to87.6 after reaching a new pandemic high two weeks...
Research Briefing
We believe prospects for FDI inflows into APAC over the medium term remain strong, even though pandemic-driven supply disruptions and...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker strengthened in the week ended September 17, rising 0.3ppts to 96.1, but remaining below its early...
Research Briefing
Asia’s economic performance over the next six to nine months will continue to be hugely influenced by developments in the...
Research Briefing
Notwithstanding Covid-related risks, we expect Asian currencies will show resilience in the face of tighter US monetary policy, particularly when...
Research Briefing
The role of the RMB is greatest where China is a major destination for manufacturing exports, suggesting that the degree...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker exited the summer on a bright note. It rose 0.7ppts to 96.7 during the two weeks...
Research Briefing
Our ASEAN-6 growth tracker, which includes Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Singapore, and Vietnam, points to a weak start to...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker slid to its lowest level in nearly three months during the week ended August 20, declining...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker carried the stalled progress we saw in the month of July into August, falling 0.3ppts to...
Research Briefing
Our Recovery Tracker recorded a second consecutive mild contraction in the week ending July 25, falling 0.3pts to 85. This...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker plateaued in July after a five-month winning streak. While consumers and businesses continue to spend, peak...
Research Briefing
We now expect the long-run nominal neutral policy rate – i.e., the rate at which the economy is in equilibrium...
Research Briefing
Following record declines in 2020, we forecast strong 6.1% pa APAC GDP growth over the next two years. Nonetheless, the...
Research Briefing
The US Recovery Tracker added to its nearly five-month streak of weekly gains in the week ended July 9, rising...
Research Briefing
Enhanced US unemployment benefits are discouraging only a small share of unemployed workers from finding jobs. The disincentive to work...
Research Briefing
Our Latin America Recovery Tracker (LART) fell slightly (-0.7pts) during the week ending June 18, following two consecutive weekly gains....
Research Briefing
Our US Recovery Tracker started June with a bang, rising a strong 1.2ppts to 96.1 in the week ended June...