Research Briefing | Oct 14, 2021

US | Recovery Tracker kicks off October on an optimistic note

US Recovery Tracker kicks off October on an optimistic note - iPad

The US Recovery Tracker slipped to 97.5 in the week ended October 1, down 0.6pts from its post-pandemic high in the previous week. Nonetheless, economic momentum remains buoyant, with four out of the Tracker’s six subcomponents above their pre-pandemic levels.

What you will learn:

  • While mobility hit a fresh pandemic high and demand continued to be robust, financial conditions tightened sharply, pulling the headline index lower.
  • Regional recoveries ended Q3 on a mixed note with solid gains in the South and a Midwest slump. Florida and Georgia strengthened most among the largest states while California and Texas moved sideways, and New York slid back.
  • New Covid cases are currently at their lowest levels in over two months, and vaccinations have picked up to 840k daily doses. 

Tags: ConsumerCoronavirusInflationNorth AmericaRecovery TrackerSupply chainUnited StatesUS economyVaccines
Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

Takaichi’s big win doesn’t affect the fiscal outlook for Japan

The ruling Liberal Democratic Party's (LDP) landslide election victory on Sunday doesn't change our expectation of a primary fiscal deficit of 2%-3% of GDP in FY2026-FY2028 – we still see the deficit only starting to decline from FY2029. We also keep our view that the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield will be at 2.3% at end-2026 and 2.5% at end-2027 and beyond.
US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

US and Chinese strength won’t boost all other economies

Upward revisions to US and Chinese GDP growth in Q4 meant that the previously anticipated soft end to 2025 failed to materialise.