Research Briefing | Oct 14, 2021

US | Recovery Tracker kicks off October on an optimistic note

US Recovery Tracker kicks off October on an optimistic note - iPad

The US Recovery Tracker slipped to 97.5 in the week ended October 1, down 0.6pts from its post-pandemic high in the previous week. Nonetheless, economic momentum remains buoyant, with four out of the Tracker’s six subcomponents above their pre-pandemic levels.

What you will learn:

  • While mobility hit a fresh pandemic high and demand continued to be robust, financial conditions tightened sharply, pulling the headline index lower.
  • Regional recoveries ended Q3 on a mixed note with solid gains in the South and a Midwest slump. Florida and Georgia strengthened most among the largest states while California and Texas moved sideways, and New York slid back.
  • New Covid cases are currently at their lowest levels in over two months, and vaccinations have picked up to 840k daily doses. 

Back to Resource Hub

Related Services

Post

Food prices to bottom out in 2024, risks skewed to upside

Our baseline forecast is for world food commodity prices to register an annual decline this year, in aggregate, reducing pressure on food retail prices further downstream. However, we believe the risks to this forecast are overwhelmingly skewed to the upside.

Find Out More

Post

Battery raw material prices to recover

Battery raw materials prices bottomed out last quarter and we think a sustained recovery is looming. Midstream EV battery manufacturing activity has picked up again and inventories have returned to historical levels, suggesting upstream demand for raw materials will also bounce back.

Find Out More